Get Tom's best bets for St Leger Saturday at Doncaster.
I think Emotionless is a proper horse and hope he wins like one in the Doncaster opener before stepping into Group 1 company, likely the Dewhurst. There’s pace right across the track in the Portland but the middle to high theme that has been running all week, and the fact there’s pace in 20, suggest that’s where it’ll pay to be. Charlie Hills suggested yesterday that B Fifty Two will be ridden a little more patiently than normal and that’s a plus given his performance last time when slowly away. It’s his other horse I like at the prices though. Lucky Beggar had Frankie booked before it was confirmed he was off to Ireland and Harry Bentley, who takes over, is having an excellent season. 19 looks a lovely draw and he’s a well handicapped horse. He pulled at the track on reappearance in Listed company but still shaped with promise and has dropped 8lb since. Goodwood was a return to form when he switched early and couldn’t get competitive from the rear. He looked better at York last time too when drawn the wrong side and plugging on, again when little got into it. Highland Acclaim is also going up for reasons I’ve put on here before. He’s well treated and this is absolutely his trip. He’ll need a strong pace and is just about well drawn. If Barnet Fair wins...
Naadirr looked set for a good season following his win in Listed company here over 6 on reappearance. He then disappointed in 2 subsequent starts but a gelding operation may just spark a revival and he was much better last time at Newmarket. This is a big step up but a Group 2 wouldn’t have looked unfeasible back in the Spring. I like the step up to 7 given how he finished here in March and he was keeping on last time. Marco Botti’s 4 runners her this week have produced 3 good performances and this one should outrun his price. Having walked the track this morning too and spoken to the clerk of the course, the ground may just have come for Breton Rock. No doubting further ease would have been ideal and, were he to win, it would be the soundest surface he’s been successful on, but it is on the easy side of good out there and he’s a course and distance winner who should have this run to suit with a few bits of pace on.
It could be worth taking a flyer in the Leger and Medrano in a first time hood is worth a nibble. He has 9lb to find on ratings and half the track based on his York run but he was so keen that day and it's worth putting a line through. The intention wasn't to lead and the hood will hopefully help him settle. There is pace and he'll need that as I fancy he'll be dropped out. Whilst I can't see him reversing form with Storm The Stars at the 4th time of asking, there's just too much between them in the betting. The rain is a plus and I fancy the trip will be. Fingers crossed for a shock.