Dave Nevison has three selections today, including a four-point bet at Kempton.
Dave Nevison | Wednesday 13th January 2016 / 10:00
Godolphin are certainly not the force they were intended to be these days but they are still hugely successful on the all weather and Saeed Bin Suroor is particularly strong at Kempton. He returns in excess of 25% profit in handicaps for older horses and this is boosted further when the horse is having its first run in a handicap after winning a maiden. All of this points to Good Judge being a very strong bet in the Amateur Hcap at 5.40 this afternoon. The fact this horse is wearing a hood for the first time is also a profitable angle though this particular statistic has been quickly identified by the market after several big trainers have used the headgear with success.
Cape Cross , Good Judge’s sire has long been a profitable indicator for Kempton and still maintains a very healthy strike rate and Mr A R D Ferguson has a near 25% strike rate when riding horses at single figure odds. It is difficult to find a negative for this horse by my figures.
5.40 Kempton - Good Judge - 4pts @ 6/4Lost -4pts
Money Team represents the in form team of David Barron and Phillip Makin who will be keen to get back to winning after the combo managed to get a 2/5 shot beat on Sunday. Makin was in my view the most improved jockey in the North last year and Barron seems to have made him his chosen rider so far this season. The horse has been in very good form since going back on the aw and should make all here.
2.25 Chelmsford - Money Team - 2pts @ 6/5Lost -2pts
Wychwoods Brook (Taunton, 2.40) represents a stable who hit winning form yesterday with a double but who’s horses having been running better than the number of wins would suggest recently. I expect a few more. His jockey Adam Wedge is certainly making the most of stable jockey Moloney’s enforced absence.