Tom has got 3 selections for Satursday's meeting at Ayr.
Chelmsford eh? Great that the Greenham meeting has be rearranged - the BHA have made the best of a bad situation. Am writing this before confirmed decs, however, and wouldn’t be surprised if plenty of the big guns swerve with their Classic potentials. Will focus on Ayr and the Scottish National in particular. There are plenty on the shortlist but first up is a horse I’ve backed on his last couple of starts. Spookydooky ploughed through the first last time in the Midlands National and was always on the back foot subsequently. He kept on well though and I like the cheekpieces going on for just his 6th chase start. Even better is the booking of Richard Johnson who was on top for his Newbury win. The more rain we get the more I’m concerned for younger, less experienced horses but he’ been a fancy for a National of sorts for a while and I’m not deserting now. Next up is Folsum Blue for Mouse Morris, looking to compete an historic National treble. He shapes like a real stayer nowadays and if anything found the Irish national on the sharp side. He kept on well and the return of cheekpieces is a big plus given some scratchy efforts at his Fences at Fairyhouse. The worsening ground should be no trouble at all and he's a very fair price.
Ayr 16.10 - Spookydooky 1pt
Ayr 16.10 - Folsum Blue 1pt
Spookydooky - 1pt @ 20/1
As far as the Scottish Champion Hurdle goes, the Dan Skelton trained Ch’Tibello looks very well handicapped. He ran Altior close 2 starts back so 135 must give him serious claims. He’s not of Altior standard and he was probably a little disappointing the last time we saw him but he did make errors at the last two and would have finished closer otherwise. He has a big weight pull with Sternrubin and his trainer has proved himself capable of targeting big handicaps this year having kept Baradari and Superb Story back for decent pots. Perhaps they were waiting for better ground, which they won’t get here, but he won on heavy in France and he’s much bigger than I expected him to be given that Altior form.
Ayr 15.00 - Ch'Tibello 1pt
Ch'Tibello - 1pt @ 8/1