Newmarket 15.40

Another Guineas and another short priced Ballydoyle favourite. For what it’s worth I fancy Minding looks far better value than (easy in hindsight) Air Force Blue did yesterday. On pedigree she looks a filly who will make every bit the classy 3 year she suggested she might as a juvenile. Her 2yo form, as opposed to that of yesterday’s Guineas favourite, is rock solid, conditions will hold no fear and she looks well drawn too in 8. There aren’t, however, a long list of short priced O'Brien winners of this and there are plenty of opportunity to get stuck into some bigger prices. Sharja Queen could be very interesting on debut for Roger Varian. She has debut form in behind Lumiere and then won well on heavy ground at Ffos Las on her last start for Luca Cumani. Whether she can reverse form with Lumiere though is a tall order. I think the latter will stay, for what it’s worth. She is bred to get the trip - the main concern would be trying to maintain her speed, of which she has plenty, for a mile with company up top. I’m a big Blue Bayou fan but her best form has undoubtedly come on quick ground. Of those with solid form in and around Minding, Alice Springs does look a big price. She has seen more of the racecourse than plenty of these, which can be seen as a positive and negative. She is less likely to improve vastly but I’m not sure she has to in order to challenge here and I’m very surprised there’s 20’s knocking about given a big field Guineas could be right up her street. 6 was too sharp in the Cheveley Park, she was getting there over 7 in the Moyglare, Keenland over a mile was perhaps a touch sharp too when ridden with restraint and she was ridden patiently on heavy ground behind a make all winner on reappearance. Conditions will suit far better at Newmarket, she’s a course winner and the O’Brien ‘outsider' has been wrongly overlooked for this before.

At a massive price, Aljazzi is a course winner on soft on her sole start last season. On paper I’m not a fan of her draw but that’s what prevented me from putting up Galileo Gold yesterday from stall 1 - got that wrong. She was completely done for toe on reappearance at Chelmsford in the Fred Darling but kept on nicely under hands and heels and really shaped for a mile. She also never really looked happy on the Chelmsford polytrack and a return to turf with some dig in it could really suit. She’s got plenty to find on the face of it but the way she won here on debut was so impressive and she could well outrun massive odds. I’m pleased to see Jet Setting here too as she comes out of stall 5 and should give those drawn lower some pace to aim at.
Alice Springs - 1pt @ 20/1
Aljazzi - 1pt @ 100/1