One of my better efforts yesterday, I would be very happy to go somewhere close to that today, but it doesn’t necessarily look any easier.
I fancy quite a few horses in the first race (2.00) but have come down on the side of Wind Place And Sho, despite the fact that I don’t think he is brilliantly well handicapped in truth. The one thing I do know is that he will stay as far as you want him to and he is very genuine. The stable have had a better year this year and think he represents a decent each-way bet. The Cashel Man is the one to be worried about but there isn’t much juice in his price.
The Gordon Stakes (2.45) is a really tricky puzzle; you either go with the horses that have competing in a much better grade and are dropping down, like Ulysses and Shogun, or horses that look relatively solid at this level, like Platitude or Harrison, or you try and think outside the box – and I’ve chose the latter option. I gave Goldmember a positive mention before he ran in the Bahrain Trophy and although he only finished sixth and has work to do with some of today’s rivals, he is significantly less exposed and might be open to more improvement. I also don’t think he appreciated the full 1m5f that day and the drop back in trip on an easier track will suit him well. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him give a bold account at a very big price and he’s worthy of each-way support.
The more you look at the Sussex Stakes (3.10), the more results become possible but after careful consideration I have come down on the side of The Gurkha. I think there is very little between Galileo Gold and the selection and I’m not even sure The Gurkha was that unlucky at Ascot, but I do think he is a miler rather than a ten-furlong horse and that is probably what cost him in a messy Eclipse last time. I suppose the biggest factor I can find in his favour is that, with so little to find and Aidan O’Brien’s horses in such good form, the way the stable keep improving these three-year-old’s even after a busy campaign, could be a decisive factor so he just gets the nod.
One or two of the older horses, like Lightning Spear and Kodi Bear (interesting to see how the headgear works on him), could run well but I think the three-year-old’s have the edge today.The Molecomb Stakes (3.45) looks tricky but the standard set by the front of the market isn't insurmountable and I’m going to take a chance that Nayyar can step up. It wasn’t a great race he won at Chepstow on debut but he did do it quite tidily, the stable are going well and the jockey (James McDonald) showed how good he was yesterday.