In the first live Channel 4 race at 1.50, I’m going to take another chance on RACING PULSE who I tipped last time but who only got as far as the eighth fence. He had jumped fine up to that point and if we just take that as an aberration, then he should go well here. Jonathan Moore’s 3lb claim is like gold dust when the margins are as tight as in a race like this, the rain will do him no harm and I think he is potentially a well-handicapped horse for a yard who have been in good form. Of the others, Shotgun Paddy has slipped down to a dangerous mark but remains and untrustworthy jumper of a fence, while the lightly-raced Warrantor, despite having very patchy form last season, is pretty unexposed relative to most of these.
The BetVictor Gold Cup looks tremendously difficult so I’m going to back a couple at decent prices. TAQUIN DU SEUIL is a championship class horse at his best and he ran really well at Chepstow last time. I would be more confident of his chance were the stable in better form, but this may be the day when they emerge from the doldrums. I also like BOUVREUIL who has been second in two big-field handicaps at Cheltenham Festivals so we know he can handle the hurly-burly of this type of race and he is perfectly fine with some give underfoot. I hope Gavin Sheehan rides a reasonably patient race on him because I don’t think he’s the type of horse that wants to be getting involved in the early scurmishes.
The Listed hurdle at 3.00 is a very tough race, as the betting suggests, but a lot of the market leaders have been running on summer ground, which they won’t get today, and then there are a whole heap of horses who are more exposed but have a lot of class and it’s a case of working out which of them are going to be most ready for today’s assignment. I like the chances of ALLYSON MONTERG who ran perfectly well in the Albert Bartlett last year and doesn’t look overly handicapped on that run. The booking of Aidan Coleman looks significant and the yard have been among the winners of late. Some Kinda Lama has been in good form for Charlie Mann and looks one of many others who could easily play a part in the finish.
The final Channel 4 race at 3.35 is equally impossible but BOARD OF TRADE should be better for his comeback run and he is a horse that Alan King has always rated quite highly. He needs to improve to win a race like this and he’s not a horse that looks obviously well handicapped on what he has achieved so far but he is a horse open to improvement. Another one I would be interested in is Fortunate George who is pretty lightly-raced and whose stable have generally gone pretty well this season.Faller insurance