Sam Eaton gives us his Lucky 15 for the first full weekend of racing since its return.
One selection hasn't been entered, so the Lucky 15 is now a trixie.
This is obviously being used as a prep run for the mighty STRADIVARIUS (best price 7-2), but I’m still very keen to go with Jon Gosden’s star. I don’t really get how Ghaiyyath’s the price he is, and I’m not that keen on Defoe.
Stradivarius won first time out at 1m6f last season, yes this trip is shorter but it doesn’t totally rule out any chances. Could quite easily flop at this distance or just treat it as an outing, but a horse of this calibre is worth risking at the price.
I’m unsure how some of these horses will take to all-weather, but one who will certainly enjoy it is MILDENBERGER (best price 15-2). The five-year-old won back to back races on all-weather earlier in the year. On both occasions he beat pretty strong competition in Weekender, King’s Advice and Oriental Eagle. Those two run were very impressive, and makes him well worth an each-way punt at this price.
Brigadier Gerard Stakes
ELARQAM (best price 4-1) is simply the best horse in the Brigadier Gerard Stakes this year. The five-year-old represents decent value at 4/1, and is used to taking on much better opposition. Like a few of the races this weekend, there are questions marks surrounding a few runners if the rain does come, but that’s not the case with Elarqam. The only worry is he’s not got the best record when returning to the track from a break.
However, Elarqam beat Addeybb last season, Addeybb followed that run with a win at Haydock, a second to Magical at Ascot and two smart wins in Australia. Elarqam finished a decent third to Japan, and would have been much closer with a better run. The seventh to Magical was disappointing, but he went off 5/1 against a cracking field.
For those looking to have a bet on the 2000 Guineas and 1000 Guineas, my advice would not to look outside the obvious selections. I can’t see with of the favourites being beaten and will be a double of mine over the weekend.
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