Tips for every live ITV race today, including two tips for the 2000 Guineas
QUEENS GIFT (best price 12-1) form was boosted by Tinto’s stylish win yesterday. Tinto had previously been beaten by Judical (also in this race), Jucidal narrowly beat Queens Gift a couple of stats ago. Michael Dobs’ horse still has room to improve and should go well on this ground. She finished a very narrow second to Equilateral last time out at Doncaster, Equilateral has since put in two decent efforts at Meydan. She looks a good each-way play, and must more inviting than Judical at these prices. Shades of Blue could be a danger.
They’ve got the right favourite here and he looks very hard to beat. DAARIK (best price 5-2) had two decent outings last year, he beat Chatham House at Kempton and then went to 1m and finished second to Fox Power. The form from the Chatham House win has turned out pretty good. Even though he finished second last time out, he was ahead of Bayroot and Marie’s Diamond who have both since ran well.
There’s obvious question marks on KASEO’s (best price 16-1) (1pt each-way) ability to adapt to the AW track, but I think the six-year-old is being overlooked in the market. He ran some crackers last season, which included a couple fo wins and three placings. Has every chance of grabbing at least a place, especially with bookmakers offering four places.
I’m willing to rule out Queen Power’s chances in this, which makes it pretty much a two horse race between Terebellum and MAGIC LILY (best price 3-1). There’s a few questions around Terebellum, and at 5/4 I’m not willing to have that much faith. Magic Lilly was in great form over in Meydan earlier in the year, winning two races and finishing a decent second to Barney Roy. She’s much better than her two runs last season in the UK and should have the ground to suit today.
I tipped MILDENBURGER (best price 6-1) earlier in the week and I’m sticking with the five-year-old. He’s got decent form and loves the all-weather, should be thereabouts at the finish.
It’s hard to argue Waldkonig’s claims for this race, and he looks the likely winner, and I wouldn’t put people off backing Al Aasy wither. However, at 12/1, I think I’d rather be taking an each-way punt on MISHRIFF (best price 12-1) than backing a 4/5 shot. Mishriff had a shocking start in the Samba Saudi Derby Cup Mile last time out, but was an eye-catching finisher. He’s had three runs in England all on heavy ground, so it will be interesting to see how this ground suits. Looks a good option at the prices.
ACQUITTED (best price 7-2) will likely be a big play for each-way punters. There’s no doubting Palace Pier but I’ not getting involved with the 8/11. Acquitted is two from three which includes wins on the all-weather and heavy ground. He beat Waleydd and Mishriff last time out. I’d be surprised if he doesn’t shorten a fair bit before the off.
There’s been plenty of people tipping against the favourite, but I’m really struggling to see anything beating PINATUBO (best price 4-5). He’s taken on a few in this field and has never been that troubled. Even at 4/5 I’m still happy to get involved.
For people looking for a bit more juice, take a punt on KENZAI WARRIOR (best price 20-1) without the favourite. He will need to step up massively, but has two decent wins under the belt which include a narrow win to Max Vega. Max Vega went on to beat Miss Yoda pretty comfortably.