16:20 Plumpton

A trappy heat but SAWPIT SIENNA (Best price 3-1) should be well suited by this sharp track if attempting to make all of the running as she did at Wincanton last time and is fancied to get back to winning ways.

The lightly-raced six-year-old showed very little worthwhile form for Richard Bandey but she has picked up the progressive thread since switching to Samuel Drinkwater and backed up her surprise 40/1 victory at Fakenham with an excellent runner-up effort at Wincanton next time.

She was always prominent at Fakenham on the back of a 309 day-break in November and responded well to the fitting of a first time tongue-tie and the cheek-piece combination. She ran out a ready winner by three lengths from 5lb out of the handicap and was comfortably on top at the finish line. That form is yet to unfold but there was a last-time out winner back in fourth and some solid place form.

Her second-place finish next time at Wincanton was better than the bare result after hugging the inside rail throughout the contest (notoriously a place not to be when the going is soft) and she did the best of those ridden prominently to finish clear of the chasing pack who took the widest route. The form is yet to be tested but the sixth is a next time out winner and the performance suggested the selection was improving with each start.

She was only a fraction slower than the 2m Maiden winner in the first race of the day but a fraction faster than the runner-up John Betjeman rated 110 in that same race so today’s drop back to 2m shouldn’t pose an issue.

The only other horse to adopt the same racing position (inside rail) as the selection throughout the card was the 250/1 shot, Rockhamtom, in the Novice Hurdle who finished fourth (7 lengths faster than the selection) and has been handed an opening handicap mark of 112 on the back of that performance with no other worthwhile form. According to the figures, if that pair were to meet, the selection would be in receipt of 24lbs and based on the time comparisons of that run, she would win by 17 lengths - theoretically of course - but it’s enough to suggest she could be ahead of the handicapper off this 2lb higher mark of 86.

The selection is one of the least exposed in the field and is only 7lb higher than when winning at Fakenham in November and 2lb higher than her runner-up effort at Wincanton. A sharp track clearly suits the improving mare and she has shown enough speed for this drop back to 2m and could prove hard to peg back so gets the vote. Magen’s Moon and The Imposter are just two of the live dangers to the selection in a fierce contest.

Daryl Carter NAP - Sawpit Sienna - 1pt @ 3/1