We take a look at the King George at Ascot on Saturday.
King George Tips
The King George promises to be a fantastic renewal on Saturday, with six contenders set to go to post. What was already a fascinating content is made all the more interesting by the rain due at Ascot on Saturday.
LOVE has drifted in the market over the course of Friday and is now a 13/8 chance. Unbeaten last season she continued the winning thread when returning at Royal Ascot last month. She’s a worthy favourite and it would be no surprise to see her win for the fifth time in a row. There’s no doubting he class but given the unknown with ground conditions as well as the rivals she’s facing, her current price doesn’t represent any value. Her Prince Of Wales's Stakes victory was against a rather weak field and this is a different kettle of fish. Aidan O’Brien has only had one winner from 16 runners in the last 10 renewals too.
We will see ADAYAR for the first time since his Epsom Derby heroics. Hurricane Lane has given the form a strong look having won twice since and it’s very hard to crab at Adayar’s chances. However, given the array of talent on show here, he can win at 5/2 without my money on him.
WONDERFUL TONIGHT has been very strongly supported with the rain forecast tomorrow at Ascot. David Menuisier’s filly has been backed from 12/1 on Thursday night into 6/1 on Friday afternoon. She put in another brilliant performance in the Hardwicke Stakes on seasonal reappearance at Ascot. Her record on soft or heavy going since her debut is 11111, but on quicker going her form is 425. If the rain does indeed come, and the ground becomes testing, then she becomes a big player. BROOME, who was behind Wonderful Tonight in the Hardwicke is arguably too bigger price based off that form. He has since gone to France and won a Group 1, dictacting proceedings from the front. He’s versatile in regards to ground, and should it be good ground, the five-year-old has a chance to overturn the form with Wonderful Tonight.
LONE EAGLE was unlucky to be caught late on by Hurricane Lane in the Irish Derby, but that effort showed just how much he’s improved. Hurricane Lane winning the way he did in France since only enhances the claims of Lone Eagle. His effort in the Crocked Hat Stakes at Goodwood in May confirmed his talent and it was a shame to see him miss the Epsom Derby after suffering a setback. Getting the three-year-old weight allowance is another positive for the son of Galileo and another big run looks on the cards.
Despite finishing third in the Coral-Eclipse, MISHRIFF tanked through the race, trading as low as 1.4 before fading out of contention. He had travelled very strongly up until the closing stages and with that run under his belt, a better effort can be expected here. John Gosden said he wasn’t at 100% for the race too. The 1m4f trip may just stretch him slightly, but 9/1 about the four-year-old underestimates his chances should the ground remain good.
King George Prediction
Love is the correct favourite here but I wouldn’t be siding with her at her current price. With uncertainty around what the ground conditions will be at 15:35 tomorrow, it’s wise to wait and see before getting involved in the race. It’s easy to see why punters are flocking towards Wonderful Tonight if it comes up testing, but it may still be a step too far for the likeable filly. If the ground is good, Mishriff would be of interest at 8/1 and above. He’s being slightly overlooked due to his third in the Coral-Eclipse but that was a very respectable run after a 98 day break. The trip would be a slight concern but he’s won over this distance before. Lone Eagle would also be of interest with the three-year-old weight allowance. Versatile in regards to the ground, anything around the 7/1 mark would be a reasonable price to take for the Irish Derby second.