13:45 Aintree

If The Cap Fits

Grand National day always has a superb undercard, and this three-mile handicap hurdle looks a cracker. Many of the horses ran in Cheltenham Festival handicaps and are looking for compensation here, whereas others come here fresh and see this as their primary spring festival target.

Winter Fog heads the market after his 3.5 lengths fourth place in the Pertemps Final. Coming from the shrewd Emmet Mullins yard, he was tipped up by many Irish judges as their Cheltenham Festival handicap nap, but just failed to deliver, and is now carrying 1lb more today.

At the prices, I prefer If The Cap Fits who finished sixth in the same race and was four lengths behind Winter Fog.

He is fancied to turn that form around with a 2lb swing at the weights, but more importantly, If The Cap Fits prefers the quicker ground he will encounter here, whereas Winter Fog looks more like a soft ground merchant.

If The Cap Fit also acts particularly well at this meeting, having won the Grade 1 three-mile, Liverpool Hurdle. He is older now at ten years old but running here off a mark of just 137 gives him a massive chance.

Skybet is offering 18/1 with seven places paid, and I just can’t see If The Cap Fits not at least hitting a place, with an excellent chance of victory.

I recommend 1 point each way with Sky Bet - seven places.

He is still value at 12/1.

If The Cap Fits - 1pt e/w @ 18/1

19:30 Wolverhampton

City Wanderer

Being in form and consistency goes a long way in Class 6 events at Wolverhampton, and Odd Socks Havana ticks those boxes with the latest form figures of 231222 and is a deserving favourite.

However at 9/4, he looks skinny for a horse that normally finds one to beat him, and I’m taking a chance with City Wanderer at juicy odds of 20/1.

The six-year-old was originally trained by Mick Channon who managed to get three wins over a mile out of him off marks ranging from 66 to 75.

Once City Wanderer moved to Ruth Carr’s outfit last year, his form went into decline. This was partly due to his normal cheekpieces being removed for eight runs, which saw his mark plummet from 72 to 54.

The new connections finally added blinkers and his performances improved but he was just a little too lit up to finish out his races.

City Wanderer had a good winter break, and normally needs his first run of the season so running recently over an inadequate 7F looked very much like a pipe opener.

City Wanderer normally comes on a bundle for his first outing, so he looks interesting here now stepped up to his favoured 1 mile.

City Wanderer - 1pt e/w @ 20/1