Italy handicap start is worth backing

It is no secret that this fixture is one that the Italians always target, seven of their Six Nations wins have come against Scotland and five of those have been won in Rome.

Even in their losses Italy have generally kept the scores very tight with Scotland having an average winning margin of 8 points in their five wins in Rome. But those figures are slightly inflated by two big wins of 16 and 17 points, the other wins have been decided by less than five points.

There was enough improvement between rounds one and two to suggest to me that Italy can once again keep this game close. The Scots will be without two of their most influential players in Finn Russell and Jonny Gray, all these factors make Italy +8 on the handicap my first bet of the game.

Italy +8 - 2pts @ 1/1

Minozzi can get Italy off to the perfect start

Since his Six Nations debut in 2018, Italian flyer Matteo Minozzi has made a habit of scoring for his country. In seven appearances he has scored five tries, with is overall record standing at 10 tries in 18 games for the Azzurri.

His performances earned him a move to the Aviva Premiership side Wasps, where he has continued to make a name for himself. Equally adept at wing or full back he will be crucial to his side if they are to win on Saturday.

In their spirited performance in Paris, Minozzi crossed for his side’s opening try in the first half and at 14/1 I like him as an each-way (1/4 odds 3 places available) play to score the game's first try.

Matteo Minozzi first tryscorer - 1pt e/w @ 14/1