Rugby expert Danny Till has picked out a two tips for the third round of the Six Nations, Wales vs England.
The Six Nations fiercest rivalry renews on Saturday as England travel to Cardiff to face a Wales side who have started their campaign with two wins and now have a Triple Crown in their sights.
Slow starters Wales to be caught out again
Wales have lost the first half in 8 of their 12 games under Wayne Pivac by an average margin of 8 points – this trend has continued in the Six Nations and they have found themselves behind by 7 & 8 points to Ireland and Scotland.
In contrast England have been fast starters under Eddie Jones and have been ahead at the break in 8 of their last 10 internationals, leading by an average margin of 11 points in those games. They have also been leading at half time in 4/5 games against Wales – with an average margin of 9 points.
While I do think at the end of 80 mins there won’t be much between the sides, I just cant see Wales shaking their slow starters tag this weekend. Its tough to put your finger on why they take so long to get into their stride, but I’m backing England to make a fast start and the 1st half handicap of -3 is worth taking.
Red card trend can continue in Cardiff
Wales opening two fixtures have seen two red cards which have ultimately swung both games in their favour – and we could see another sending off this weekend.
It’s no secret that there are more cards being shown in the professional game. In the first six games of the Six Nations we have seen two red cards and three yellow cards – only the games featuring Italy haven’t seen a card of any colour.
The laws around the tackle and ruck, with regards to contact with the head are leaving referees in a situation where red cards are inevitable. While from a players perspective the game is so fast and physical that these incidents are unavoidable at times (and not always malicious).
This game will see two teams who love to compete at the breakdown and it will only take one player to get it slightly wrong and the fate of the Six Nations title could be altered. With how the opening weeks of the tournament have gone, it’s worth backing a red card to be shown at a tasty price of 6/1.