I love it when a plan comes together...finally we’ve nailed one which just goes to show how important it is to take the hits on the chin and keep the faith.
After doing us a huge turn yesterday, I’m backing Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova again today. She faces Coco Vandeweghe who should be favourite but she’s no 1-4 shot. They boast similar power games and their one previous meeting saw the American win 7-6 7-5.
Obviously it comes down to who produces on the day but I am certainly surprised to see Pavlyuchenkova priced up at bigger than 2-1. Breaks could be at a premium so I’ll also have a go at the first set resulting in a tiebreak with some seriously tempting odds on offer.
Novak Djokovic’s shock exit to Sam Querrey has left the top half open for Milos Raonic and Roger Federer. If the latter is at his best, he should have little trouble with Steve Johnson (Fed loves playing big servers) but I think Raonic could be in for a tough time against David Goffin. I see the Belgian as a future world number one and his power, variety, and sheer number of winners could be enough to take Raonic out of his comfort zone. The 25-year-old is a big price - he has drifted notably, almost alarmingly, in the last 24 hours - and I’m backing him to win at +1.5 sets on the handicap and to win.