MLB Draft Odds: 90% Chance Spencer Torkelson Selected First Overall

With Wednesday night's MLB Draft right around the corner, oddsmakers have all but guaranteed Torklelson will go first overall
Brian Good
Tue, June 9, 11:14 AM

Despite a lack of regular season play, the 2020 MLB Draft begins on Wednesday at 7 pm ET with teams looking to bolster their farm system and land the next big prospect in baseball.

The Detroit Tigers own the No. 1 overall pick for the second time in three years after finishing last season with the worst record in the majors.

Detroit selected RHP Casey Mize with the first pick in the 2018 draft, and Mize is currently the 7th overall ranked prospect according to MLB.com and ranks 12th overall on Baseball Prospectus.

This season, oddsmakers are all but guaranteeing the Tigers move away from pitching and focus on hitting by selecting Arizona State first baseman Spencer Torkelson with the first overall pick.

Torkelson’s odds for going No. 1 are currently -1000, giving him a 90.9% implied probability of ending up in Detroit.

The next shortest odds after Torkelson belong to Texas A&M LHP Asa Lacy at +600.

Austin Martin (+750), Nick Gonzales (+1000) and Emerson Hancock (+1500) round out the top five list of shortest odds to be selected by Detroit.

Torkelson is pretty much a lock to go first overall, which is made all more significant by the position he plays. The last time a first baseman was drafted No. 1 was in 2000, when the Marlins selected Adrian Gonzalez.

Torkelson is known for his ability to hit the long ball while still hitting for a high average. MLB.com has his hit tool graded as a 60 and his power graded as a 65.

MLB DRAFT ORDER

First Round

1. Detroit Tigers

2. Baltimore Orioles

3. Miami Marlins

4. Kansas City Royals

5. Toronto Blue Jays

6. Seattle Mariners

7. Pittsburgh Pirates

8. San Diego Padres

9. Colorado Rockies

10. Los Angeles Angels

11. Chicago White Sox

12. Cincinnati Reds

13. San Francisco Giants

14. Texas Rangers

15. Philadelphia Phillies

16. Chicago Cubs

17. Boston Red Sox

18. Arizona Diamondbacks

19. New York Mets

20. Milwaukee Brewers

21. St. Louis Cardinals

22. Washington Nationals

23. Cleveland Indians

24. Tampa Bay Rays

25. Atlanta Braves

26. Oakland Athletics

27. Minnesota Twins

28. New York Yankees

29. Los Angeles Dodgers

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