NL MVP Odds: Bryce Harper’s MVP Odds Slashed Following Big Home Run Against Mets

The latest NL MVP odds have people buzzing. Bryce Harper's MVP odds have been slashed following his his huge game against the Mets on Friday.
Brian Good
Sat, August 7, 5:54 AM EDT

NL MVP Odds: Bryce Harper’s MVP Odds Slashed Following Big Home Run Against Mets

  • Bryce Harper at +500 to win NL MVP
  • The latest NL MVP odds
  • Bryce Harper's Stats

There are a bunch of deserving candidates when it comes the National League MVP and the NL MVP odds market. But, right now, there is one name surging to the top of the list and he plays baseball in Philadelphia.

Bryce Harper’s play of late has been nothing short of spectacular and oddsmakers have begun to take notice, giving him the respect he deserves when it comes to NL MVP odds.

San Diego’s Fernando Tatis Jr. is still rightfully the favorite, even sitting at odds-on in some places. But, the progress Bryce Harper has made over the past few weeks in his NL MVP candidacy has been remarkable to watch.

So, how good are Bryce Harper’s odds to win NL MVP this season? Let’s take a look at the latest NL MVP odds to see if Harper has a chance to win his second NL MVP of his career.

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NL MVP Odds: Bryce Harper Making His Case

If you’re a baseball purist and look at traditional stats like batting average, home runs and RBIs when deciding who you think should win MVP, Bryce Harper probably won’t stick out to you. But if you look a little deeper you’ll see he’s having one of the best seasons of any player in the Majors.

Bryce Harper is the only player in baseball slashing .300/.400/.500 right now. He’s an extremely rare power bat as he not only hits for average and power, but he’s also extremely selective when it comes to taking pitches and he walks at an extremely high rate.

Harper is third in the NL in wOBA at .414, with one of the players ahead of him being Ronald Acuna Jr., who is out for the year. He’s second in the NL in wRC+ at 159 and is doing all this with a walk rate of just under 15%.

Just a few weeks ago, Bryce Harper’s NL MVP odds sat around +2500 no matter where you looked and, prior to last night’s game, his best NL MVP odds sat at +1400. Now, after he answered “MVP” chants at Citizens Bank Park with a 442-foot homer to dead center in the eighth inning, his odds have been completely slashed.

Bryce Harper’s NL MVP odds now sit at +500, implying an 16.1% chance he wins the award. But, Harper’s MVP odds are as short as +450 in some places, making him the second favorite in some places.

Fernando Tatis Jr. still leads the way for NL MVP, at -106. Los Angeles’ Max Muncy and Atlanta’s Freddie Freeman, the defending MVP, are also in contention for the award.

Player NL MVP Odds Implied Probability
Fernando Tatis Jr. -106 51.5%
Bryce Harper +500 16.7%
Max Muncy +500 16.7%
Trea Turner +650 13.3%
Freddie Freeman +1000 9.1%

Click here for complete NL MVP odds

Bryce Harper's Stats

Season Team G AB R H TB 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB AVG OBP SLG OPS
2021 PHI 89 315 64 96 179 26 0 19 44 56 82 12 0.305 0.415 0.568 0.983
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