NL Cy Young Odds: Zack Wheeler The Favorite After Shutting Down Mets

The latest NL Cy Young odds have Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Zack Wheeler as the favorite to take home the award, following his complete game shutout on Sunday against the Mets
Brian Good
Tue, August 10, 6:00 AM EDT

NL Cy Young Odds: Zack Wheeler The Favorite After Shutting Down Mets

If he was healthy, Jacob deGrom would be running away with the National League Cy Young Award. Not only is he the best pitcher in the world right now, he was in the middle of a historically great season. At his best, he’s nearly unhittable, but as he’s had to miss extended time with an injury, his National League Cy Young odds have plummeted.

The award was seen as a toss-up for a while after deGrom went down. Milwuakee’s Corbin Burnes is having himself a great year. Los Angeles’ Walker Buehler, one of the best young arms in the sport, has been unbelievable of late and Burnes’ teammate Brandon Woodruff has looked like an ace. As such, their Cy Young odds have reflected their impressive showings.

But, on Sunday, a different name pulled away from the pack with a signature, Cy Young moment that may define his season.

Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Zack Wheeler, in the biggest game of the season, completely shut down the New York Mets to complete the series sweep of their rival. Wheeler pitched a complete game, striking out 11 batters and only allowing two hits. When the Phillies, who now sit in first place, needed an ace-like performance from their highest-paid pitcher, they got one.

Now, following Wheeler’s showing on Sunday, the latest NL Cy Young odds have him as the overwhelming favorite to win the award this year.

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NL Cy Young Odds

It’s fitting that Wheeler’s potential Cy Young moment came on a day when the Phillies were honoring Roy Halladay, the team’s last player to win the award. Not only did it keep a stranglehold on first place in the division for his team, but it moved him into first place in the latest NL Cy Young odds.

When the Phillies signed Wheeler a few years ago there were no questions about his ability. He was one of the best prospects in the New York Mets farm system. He had a lively arm that hit triple digits at times and had the stuff to be one of the best.

Unfortunately for the Mets, he just couldn’t stay healthy. So, after some good years with the team that ended in injury, they allowed him to walk in free agency and eventually sign with their rival Philadelphia Phillies.

Since joining the Phillies, Wheeler has been one of the best pitchers in all of Major League Baseball. This season.

For starters, Zack Wheeler leads the MLB in WAR at 6.0, indicating that he’s not only the best pitcher in the majors right now, but he may also be the MVP.

Wheeler has been an absolute work horse. He leads the majors in strikeouts (181) and innings pitched (156.0). His 16 quality starts are third in all of baseball and his 2.42 ERA is sixth in the NL.

So, the latest NL Cy Young odds have Zack Wheeler favored at +200, implying a 33.3% chance he wins the award.

The NL Cy Young race is not over. Walker Buehler shows no signs of slowing down and is right behind Wheeler in most statistical categories. His NL Cy Young odds have him at +370, the second shortest.

Brandon Woodruff and Corbin Burnes’ Brewers are having a fantastic season and a late stretch from either of them could cement them as the leaders.

But, for now, Wheeler’s impressive performance in the biggest game of his team’s season has propelled him to the lead of the NL Cy Young odds.

Player NL Cy Young Odds Implied Probability
Zack Wheeler +200 33.3%
Walker Buehler +370 21.3%
Brandon Woodruff +500 16.7%
Corbin Burnes +750 11.8%
Kevin Gausman +950 9.5%

Click here for complete NL Cy Young odds

When is Zack Wheeler’s Next Start?

Wheeler, the current favorite to win the NL Cy Young, is scheduled to make his next start on Friday, August 13 against the Cincinnati Reds at 7:05 pm at home.

What is Zack Wheeler’s Record?

Zack Wheeler is 10-6 this season in 23 starts.

Zack Wheeler Stats

Season Team W L ERA GS CG SHO IP H R ER BB SO WHIP
2013 NYM 7 5 3.42 17 0 0 100 90 42 38 46 84 1.36
2014 NYM 11 11 3.54 32 1 1 185.1 167 84 73 79 187 1.33
2017 NYM 3 7 5.21 17 0 0 86.1 97 53 50 40 81 1.59
2018 NYM 12 7 3.31 29 0 0 182.1 150 69 67 55 179 1.12
2019 NYM 11 8 3.96 31 0 0 195.1 196 93 86 50 195 1.26
2020 PHI 4 2 2.92 11 0 0 71 67 26 23 16 53 1.17
2021 PHI 10 6 2.42 23 3 2 156 121 46 42 34 181 0.99
Career - 58 46 3.49 160 4 3 976.1 888 413 379 320 960 1.24
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