MLB Lockout: Will the 2022 Season Start on Time? Oddsmakers Give It a 60% Chance

After the most recent discussions between MLB and its Players Association, oddsmakers have flipped in favor of the 2022 MLB season starting on time. We have a breakdown of it all here.
| 3 min read
Share to Facebook
Share to Twitter
Copy Link

MLB Lockout: Will the 2022 Season Start on Time? Oddsmakers Give It a 60% Chance

In a stunning reversal, oddsmakers believe the 2022 MLB season will start on time!

MLB and the MLBPA have stark differences in how they believe the league should look moving forward. Most notably, the MLBPA wants to make sure no teams have any reason to tank anymore. As a result, they’ve asked for drastic measures to be taken, such as rewarding good teams with extra draft picks, cutting revenue sharing, and a salary floor. The core economic issues at play in this have led to a standoff between the two parties.

Bet $5, Win $100 on the NBA in Virginia
  • Bet $5, Get $100
  • Promo Code WIN100
  • Virginia Sports Betting Exclusive

Claim Your $100 Now
DraftKings logo
Bet $5, Get $150 on the NBA Playoffs
  • NBA Playoff Exclusive
  • 30/1 odds
  • Boosted odds on your team winning!

Claim Your $150 Now
Fanduel logo
$1000 Risk Free Bet
  • Register for a new FanDuel account
  • Deposit up to $1000
  • Get your first deposit matched

Claim Your Risk-Free $1000
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
BetMGM logo
Bet $10, Win $200 If There's A 3-Pointer
  • Deposit $10 into your new BetMGM account
  • Bet $10 on any NBA Moneyline
  • Get $200 if your team scores a three

Claim Your $200 Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Caesars Sportsbook logo
$1100 First Bet Insurance
  • Open a new Caesars Sportsbook account
  • Deposit up to $1100
  • Get your wager insured 100%

Claim Your Insured $1100
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Unibet New Jersey logo
$250 Risk Free Bet
  • Claim A $250 Risk Free Bet
  • Use On Any Sport
  • New Customers Only

Claim Your $250 Now

As a result, oddsmakers believed that the 2022 MLB season was doomed to be delayed. They gave -250 odds, or an implied 71.4% chance that the season would be delayed, and +170 odds or a 37% chance the season would start on time. Oddsmakers saw it as unlikely the gap between the two sides could be bridged in just a month or two.

That’s no longer the case though. After MLB got the ball rolling with a proposal last week. The MLBPA is coming back with a counter-proposal today. For whatever reason, oddsmakers are now optimistic that these talks can move quickly enough that the season will start on time. In a stunning reversal, oddsmakers are now given -150 odds, or an implied 60% chance that the season will begin on time. However, a delayed season is still very much in play with oddsmakers giving the possibility of +110 odds, or an implied 47.6% chance of happening.

Of course, precedent says not to get your hopes up. The last time there was a lockout it lasted nearly a full month into the 1995 season, after losing the end of the 1994 season. Neither side wants to be the perceived loser in these negotiations and that leads to hard-fought discussions, often at the expense of fans.

Still, there’s too much money on the line for this to drag on for too much longer, at least that’s what the prevailing thought is. It’s only a matter of time before we see if the two sides can come to an agreement in time for the season to start on time. After all, pitchers and catchers were set to report by February 14th prior to the lockout!

Odds for the 2022 MLB Season Starting on Time

Yes or NoCurrent OddsImplied ChanceOdds on January 5th

Click Here for the Best Sportsbook Promotions Available in Your State


A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.

Expert Handicappers

View all Handicappers

Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.