Philadelphia Phillies World Series Odds: Can The Philadelphia Phillies Build on Bryce Harper's MVP Season?

Philadelphia Phillies World Series Odds: Can The Philadelphia Phillies Build on Bryce Harper's MVP Season?

Up until Wednesday, the Phillies hadn’t had the offseason people expected, which had oddsmakers wary of a team that has as much upside as any in the NL. But, the Phillies signed slugger Kyle Schwarber to a 4-year deal this morning and may be poised to make a move on either Kris Bryant or Nick Castellanos.

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Phillies World Series Odds

The Phillies’ offseason has been slow going. Oddsmakers have noticed as they now sit at +4000 odds, or an implied 2.4% chance to win the World Series. That puts them 15th in MLB, exactly in the middle of the league. However, they are tied with the Mariners who have had a great offseason coming off a 90-win season. So, oddsmakers do see the upside.

Their biggest issue is that they play in a division with 2 of the 3 best teams in the NL. The Mets and Braves are second and third in odds to win the National League, only the Dodgers have better odds. As a result, the Phillies' odds to win the division are +550. With longer odds to win the division, odds to win the division oddsmakers have a hard time backing the Phillies to win much of anything. As a result, they’re given +1700 odds to win the NL, 8th in the league. Those are the second-best odds of any predicted third-place finisher in MLB though, only the Red Sox have better.

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Phillies Award Futures Odds

Reigning NL MVP Bryce Harper is given strong odds to defend his crown. Yet, like the Phillies themselves, he’s third in the NL East. His +1000 odds, or an implied 9.1% chance to win the MVP, place him being Ronald Acuna, +900, and Juan Soto, +400. Still, Harper has gotten some respect back, as his odds are twice as good as last year when he was given +2000 odds prior to the start of the season.

Reigning Cy Young runner-up Zach Wheeler is in the same boat, third in the NL East, on the odds market. Like Harper, he too is given +1000 odds, but he trails Max Scherzer, +800, and Jacob deGrom, +350. Reigning Cy Young winner Corbin Burnes is also ahead of him at +800.

Even on the NL Rookie of the Year market, the Phillies don’t reign supreme in the division. Bryson Stott is given +1200 odds to win the NL Rookie of the Year, 5th on the market, and second in the NL East. He trails Keibert Ruiz, who’s given +575 odds.