Twins World Series Odds: Minnesota Still has More to Prove After Landing Carlos Correa
Twins World Series Odds: Minnesota Still has More to Prove After Landing Carlos Correa
The Minnesota Twins have been fairly active this offseason so far. They traded away Josh Donaldson and added Gio Urshela, Gary Sanchez, and Sonny Gray. Last night, they put the cherry on top by signing free agent short stop, Carlos Correa to a three-year contract.
Obviously, last year was a down year for the Twins as they finished in last place going just 73-89 on the season after playoff appearances in three of the previous four seasons. Does this move make them more competitive in the AL Central next year?
Here's what the oddsmakers are saying for both the World Series and AL Central.
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Twins World Series Odds
| Odds | Team | Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|
| +1200 | White Sox | 7.69% |
| +6000 | Tigers | 1.64% |
| +6600 | Twins | 1.49% |
| +10000 | Guardians | 0.99% |
| +10000 | Royals | 0.99% |
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Even after these latest moves, the Twins find themselves behind both the White Sox and the Tigers. The White Sox, who won the division with 93 games have the fourth-best World Series odds in the sport. The Sox have one of the deepest rotations in the AL and with a lineup featuring Luis Robert, Jose Abreu, Yasmani Grandal, and Tim Anderson they're fairly stacked.
Surprisingly, the Tigers have better odds. They're only slightly better but still better. Detroit won 77 games last year and they have a great farm system but they still feel like a couple of years away, truly the Twins feel like the better team.
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Getting to Minnesota finally, they are improved but is it enough to put them into a playoff spot? Landing Sonny Gray is a nice addition but they could still use a front-line starter, and I'm not sure they can add someone this late into the process and have it make a significant impact. Right now Dylan Bundy, who pitched to a 6.06 ERA last season, is their next best starter behind Gray in the rotation.
AL Central Odds
| Odds | Team | Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|
| -165 | White Sox | 62.26% |
| +700 | Tigers | 12.5% |
| +750 | Twins | 11.76% |
| +1000 | Guardians | 9.09% |
| +1400 | Royals | 6.67% |
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As expected, they are projecting the White Sox to run away with the division again. They won it by 13 games last year and we may see something similar again in 2022. As mentioned, in order for the Twins to have more success they are going to need to acquire more pitching or have a few guys in the rotation have career years simultaneously.
Carlos Correa was a nice addition for this team and they've definitely improved the roster in the offseason but they're not quite there yet.