Pete Alonso Home Run Derby Odds 2022: Alonso Given 33% Chance for a Three-Pete

Pete Alonso Home Run Derby Odds 2022: Alonso Given 33% Chance for a Three-Pete
The Home Run Derby is one of the most fun sporting events of the year. It brings out the inner child in every baseball fan as we all gather to watch big, strong, men bash baseballs to the moon.
One of the best in the business in sending balls into orbit is Pete Alonso. Alonso set the record for most home runs by a rookie in MLB history and has won the last two Home Run Derbies. Let's look at the Pete Alonso Home Run Derby odds for tonight.
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Pete Alonso Home Run Derby Odds
Player | Odds | Implied Probability |
---|---|---|
Pete Alonso | +200 | 33.3% |
Kyle Schwarber | +350 | 22.2% |
Juan Soto | +650 | 13.3% |
Ronald Acuna Jr. | +750 | 11.8% |
Julio Rodriguez | +900 | 10% |
Corey Seager | +1200 | 7.7% |
Jose Ramirez | +1800 | 5.3% |
Albert Pujols | +2400 | 4% |
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Pete Alonso Home Run Derby Odds Breakdown
To the surprise of absolutely no one, Pete Alonso is the favorite to take home the crown for the third straight year. The Pete Alonso Home Run Derby odds have him at +200 currently. As a reminder, the last time he was in the Home Run Derby, this is what he did:
74 home runs is no joke man, including a massive 35 homers in the first round. That's incredible. Plus Dave Jauss the secret weapon is making a return to throw to Pete once again at the Derby tonight.
On the regular season, Alonso has 24 homers to his name and is on pace for 42 on the year. When you look at his advanced numbers he projects to do very well in this event again. Alonso's barrel percentage is 89th percentile, with his max exit velocity at 98th percentile and HardHit% at 81st percentile. Translation, he hits the ball very hard and very fall.
Of the remaining contestants tonight, Kyle Schwarber is likely his biggest test. Schwarber has 29 homers which is the most in the National League. He's built to hit homers and has the experience that some of the other participants are lacking.
Expect these two to put on a show tonight but don't be surprised if we see a three-Pete.