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Aaron Judge Home Run Odds: Is Aaron Judge Going to Break Roger Maris' Record?

Aaron Judge has been a home run machine for the Yankees this year. Will he be able to break Roger Maris' Yankees home run record this year? Here's what the Aaron Judge Home Run odds have to say.
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Aaron Judge Home Run Odds: Is Aaron Judge Going to Break Roger Maris' Record?

Before the season started, Aaron Judge rejected the New York Yankees' offer on a contract extension, betting on himself. Well, that has certainly paid off this year as he is leading the league with 41 home runs through just 98 games.

Since the return post-All-Star break, in nine games Judge has eight homers hitting another two last night including a Grand Slam. Does he have a chance at the Roger Maris record? Let's take a look at the Aaron Judge Home Run odds.

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Aaron Judge Home Run Odds

Home Run TotalOddsImplied Chance
Over 61.5+16537.74%
Under 61.5-20066.67%

Odds via Ceasars Sportsbook

Aaron Judge Home Run Odds Breakdown

The line is set at 61.5 for Aaron Judge and for good reason. 61, held by Roger Maris is the New York Yankees' single-season home run record. Many look at the 61 number from 1961 as the true home run record as Sammy Sosa, Mark McGwire, and Barry Bonds all hit more but are linked to steroids.

The oddsmakers are giving Aaron Judge a 37.74% chance of beating the record with a 66.67% chance to come in under that 61.5 number.

After another impressive showing last night, Judge is on pace for 66 home runs on the season. A player hasn't hit 66 homers since Barry Bonds eclipsed it in 2001.

In his rookie season which saw him hit 52 homers, he had 30 heading into the All-Star break but then slowed down in the second half. Now, he's gotten red hot this summer so perhaps that momentum can carry him over the finish line this year to break the record.

He's on pace to do it and has remained injury free. There really may be some better value here than the current odds suggest.

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OddsChecker sports writer Matt O'Leary brings experience sports betting advice to the OC staff. You may recognize Matt from his popular New York Jets youtube channel, but his vast knowledge of sports and betting goes well past the boundaries of New York.


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