MLB MVP Race: Aaron Judge Given a 79% Chance to Win AL MVP
MLB MVP Race: Aaron Judge Given a 79% Chance to Win AL MVP
Aaron Judge is very, very good at baseball and it's showing this year as he puts up these unreal numbers. Before the season, Judge bet on himself not taking the contract offer from the New York Yankees and boy has that paid off. He is batting .297 with 42 homers and 91 RBI through just 100 games so far.
Specifically, in July, he had himself a monster month. Aaron Judge hit 13 homers with a 1.253 OPS! Just insane stats to put him on pace for 66 home runs on the season, which would break Roger Maris' record of 61.
After this insane run, Aaron Judge took a massive lead in the AL MVP race. Here are the AL MVP odds currently and where he stacks up vs. Shohei Ohtani.
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AL MVP Odds
| Player | Odds | Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | -380 | 79.17% |
| Shohei Ohtani | +350 | 22.22% |
| Yordan Alvarez | +5000 | 1.96% |
| Jose Ramirez | +6000 | 1.64% |
| Rafael Devers | +10000 | 0.99% |
Click here for Full AL MVP odds
Aaron Judge AL MVP Odds -380 (Bet $380 to win $100)
Just a week ago this race was much tighter. Aaron Judge was -105 and given a 51.2% chance at winning the MVP while Shohei Ohtani was given a +135 odds and a 42.6% chance. That has now dramatically changed as Judge is given a 79.17% chance to win the MVP of the American League.
In just 11 games after the All-Star break, Aaron Judge has nine homers and 21 RBI. His 1.614 OPS is video game-like. He has a real chance to break Roger Maris' record of 61, which many look at as the true home run record. At this point, Judge feels like a lock for the AL MVP award.
Shohei Ohtani AL MVP Odds +350 (Bet $100 to win $350)
Ohtani, who won the MVP last year, is having yet another stellar season. He has an .847 OPS with 22 homers while on the mound he is pitching to a 2.81 ERA with 145 strikeouts. He is a legit middle-of-the-order bat and top-of-the-rotation pitcher at the same time. We've never seen anything like this before.
Sure, he may still have a chance at this thing as some will claim his value is better because he pitches and hits but it's hard to argue against the historic season that Aaron Judge is having. The oddsmakers believe the voters will lean towards Judge and I tend to agree with that logic.