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Aaron Judge Home Run Odds: Can Aaron Judge Reach 62 Home Runs?

Last night, Aaron Judge hit his 50th home run on the season. Will he be able to catch Roger Maris? Here's a look at the Aaron Judge home run odds and see what the sportsbooks think.
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Aaron Judge Home Run Odds: Can Aaron Judge Reach 62 Home Runs?

Aaron Judge is having an insane season for the New York Yankees. He is leading the league in OPS, walks, RBI, and home runs in the 2022 season on his way the American League MVP.

In fact, just last night he hit his 50th home run of the season which is two shy of his career high.

Not only is he chasing a personal record, he is also trying to break Roger Maris' home run record of 61 home runs. Many still hold that as the true home run record. Can he do that with just over a month left? Here's what the sportsbooks have to say about the Aaron Judge home run odds.

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Aaron Judge Home Run Odds

Home Run TotalOddsImplied Chance
Over 61.5+24029.41%
Under 61.5-30075%

Aaron Judge Home Run Odds Breakdown

Sportsbooks are giving Aaron Judge a 29.41% chance to break Roger Maris' home run record which is down from the end of last month. The odds are stacked against him but don't tell Aaron Judge that. His current home run pace, 63 home runs.

In order to do that, he would need to hit a home run every 2.5 games the rest of the way. For context, in 697 career games he has 208 home runs which is one for every 3.4 games so he would have to up his career pace by a little bit here.

Aaron Judge is just the seventh player in MLB history to hit 50 home runs before the month of September. With his current pace, and the kind of season he is having it's hard to bet against him. It also helps that you're getting him at plus-money after a little bit of a cold streak.

Can Aaron Judge get hot to finish the season and catch Roger Maris? If last night was any indication, I think he can.


OddsChecker sports writer Matt O'Leary brings experience sports betting advice to the OC staff. You may recognize Matt from his popular New York Jets youtube channel, but his vast knowledge of sports and betting goes well past the boundaries of New York.


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