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Aaron Judge Next Team Odds: Aaron Judge Given 62% Chance to Remain With the Yankees

Aaron Judge will likely be named AL MVP later next week and he will head the loaded MLB free-agent market this winter. Where will he sign? Here's a look at the latest Aaron Judge next team odds.
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Aaron Judge Next Team Odds: Aaron Judge Given 62% Chance to Remain With the Yankees

Next week the MLB announces its award winners for 2022, and on Thursday, Aaron Judge will likely be crowned AL MVP. The caveat with this is there has never been an MVP that has left their team in free agency the following offseason in MLB history. Aaron Judge will be the most sought-after free agents in recent memory this winter. Where will Aaron Judge sign this offseason? Here's a look at the latest Aaron Judge next team odds.

Aaron Judge Next Team Odds

OddsTeamImplied Chance
-165New York Yankees62.3%
+300San Francisco Giants25%
+450Los Angeles Dodgers18.2%
+1000New York Mets9.1%
+1600Boston Red Sox5.9%
+2200Chicago Cubs4.3%
+2800St. Louis Cardinals3.4%
+2800Los Angeles Angels3.4%
+3000Texas Rangers3.2%

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Aaron Judge Next Team Odds: Yankees (-165)

With MLB free agency beginning on Thursday, according to DraftKings, it's most likely that Judge re-signs with New York. The Yankees are given over a 62% chance of agreeing to a new contract with Judge. After breaking the AL home run record with the Yankees the season with 62, there's no question New York would like to retain the star right fielder. Judge turned down a $213.5 million extension from the Yankees before the 2022 season, and he clearly won the bet he made on himself. The Yankees need him more than any other team in MLB. Not only for his ability on the field but also for his off-the-field marketability. Just like Derek Jeter and his incredible career on the field, the countless sponsorships that come with the New York spotlight are comparable to what Judge brings to the franchise.

You may have seen the Yankees made qualifying offers to Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo this past week. That just means if either were to sign with another team, the Yankees would get draft pick compensation. The qualifying offer is a one-year, $19.65 million deal. Obviously, Judge won't accept that, and he will seek a long-term contract upwards of over $300 million.

Aaron Judge Next Team Odds: San Francisco Giants (+300)

The Giants are the sportsbook favorite to sign Judge if he were to leave the Yankees. This makes sense being that Judge is a California kid. Born and raised in Sacramento, Judge even attended California State University, Fresno College, where the Yankees drafted him in the 1st round in 2013. It will likely take over $350 million to persuade Judge to leave New York. The Giants are one of a handful of teams that have the financial ability to offer him such a lucrative contract.

Will there be a bidding war for the 30-year-old reigning AL MVP with free agency now open? That remains to be seen. Of course, the New York Mets behind Steve Cohen's checkbook and the Dodgers, who have plenty of salary coming off the books ahead of free agency this winter, will also be players in the Aaron Judge sweepstakes. Judge likely takes his time with his decision, but I expect him to sign his record contract before the winter meetings, which are December 4-7.


Tom Viera is an experienced betting and fantasy sports writer. Tom brings a vast knowledge of all things NFL, NBA, MLB and soccer to the OddsChecker stable of handicappers.


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