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Aaron Judge Next Team Odds: Sportsbooks Name Giants, Mets, Dodgers As Major Players in Sweepstakes

Aaron Judge is the prize of the MLB offseason. If Judge leaves the Yankees, it’ll be the first time a reigning MVP leaves his team as a free agent in MLB history. So Kyle Newman has a breakdown of the latest Aaron Judge next team odds here.
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Aaron Judge Next Team Odds: Sportsbooks Name Giants, Mets, Dodgers As Major Players in Sweepstakes

Aaron Judge is the prize of the MLB offseason. If Judge leaves the Yankees, it’ll be the first time a reigning MVP leaves his team as a free agent in MLB history. So, it should be no surprise that all eyes are on the star outfielder. Sportsbooks are offering odds for all 29 teams to land Judge, but only four are given at least a 10% chance to actually do so.

Aaron Judge Next Team Odds

The San Francisco Giants lead the way at +200. That’s an implied 33.3% chance to land Judge if he does leave the Yankees. Their biggest competition is expected to be the Los Angeles Dodgers, who are given +300 odds or an implied 25% chance to get a deal done.

The crosstown New York Mets are also expected to be in the mix with +600 odds or an implied 14.3% chance to steal Judge. Pulling up the rear, among the contenders, is the St. Louis Cardinals, who are given strong +800 odds, or an implied 11.1% chance to pull off a surprise signing of Judge.

While the Giants, Dodgers, Mets, and Cardinals are expected to be the most prominent players on the market, they aren’t the only ones. The Boston Red Sox are close behind at +1200, or an implied 7.7% chance to get Judge to come to the Yankees’ biggest rival. The Angels are given +1600 odds, or an implied 5.9% chance to pair Judge with Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani, creating arguably the best trio in MLB history. Even the hated Houston Astros are given +1800 odds, or an implied 5.3% chance to land Judge.

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The Chicago White Sox is perhaps the most surprising team that isn’t expected to be in on the likely AL MVP. The south-siders have been in on most of the big-name free agents in recent years, but they’re given +10000 odds, or just an implied 1% chance to land Judge. Those odds are worse than the +6600 the Marlins are currently getting.

Every baseball team will want a shot at signing one of the most coveted free agents in MLB history. There are only so many who can actually afford to pay him though. If Judge is going to leave the Yankees, odds are he’s either heading to the west coast, or he’s going to one of the Yankees’ biggest rivals. Either way, Judge will land a major contract in a big market. In fact, sportsbooks have set the over/under on Judge’s contract at 360 million dollars. Even Harper and Machado only got 330 million and 300 million, respectively.

Aaron Judge Next Team Odds If He Leaves the Yankees

TeamOddsImplied chance
San Francisco Giants+20033.3%
Los Angeles Dodgers+30025%
New York Mets+60014.3%
St. Louis Cardinals+80011.1%
Boston Red Sox+12007.7%
Texas Rangers+12007.7%
Atlanta Braves+12007.7%
Chicago Cubs+16005.9%
Los Angeles Angels+16005.9%
Seattle Mariners+16005.9%
Toronto Blue Jays+16005.9%
Houston Astros+18005.3%
Philadelphia Phillies+20004.8%
San Diego Padres+25003.8%
Minnesota Twins+25003.8%
Baltimore Orioles+33002.9%
Cleveland Guardians+33002.9%
Tampa Bay Rays+40002.4%
Miami Marlins+66001.5%
Milwaukee Brewers+100001%
Cincinnati Reds+100001%
Chicago White Sox+100001%
Washington Nationals+100001%
Kansas City Royals+100001%
Pittsburgh Pirates+100001%
Detroit Tigers+100001%
Oakland Athletics+150000.7%
Arizona Diamondbacks+150000.7%
Colorado Rockies+200000.5%

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A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.

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