NBA Finals Odds: Lakers vs. Heat Game 3 Betting Breakdown

Who do bettors think will win Sunday's Game 3 between the Lakers and Heat?
Brian Good
Sun, October 4, 9:14 AM

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Miami Heat – Game 3 Preview

It’s been a relatively stress-free path to the 2020 NBA Finals for LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers. They disposed of each of their Western Conference playoff opponents, the Portland Trail Blazers, Houston Rockets and Denver Nuggets, to the tune of a 4-1 series victory.

Now, facing the Miami Heat in the NBA Finals, it looks as though the King is destined to pick up his fourth NBA title. The Lakers lead the series, 2-0, following convincing wins in Game 1 and Game 2, and are looking to take a commanding 3-0 series lead in Game 3 on Sunday night.

Los Angeles Lakers

The Lakers have been led by Anthony Davis and LeBron James throughout the entire regular season and postseason. The duo has been as close to unstoppable as you’ll see on a basketball court and don’t look like they’ll be slowing down anytime soon.

Davis comes into Sunday’s Game 3 averaging 29.3 points, 9.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game throughout the 2020 postseason. Prior to the playoffs, it seemed unfathomable that anyone would threaten LeBron for Finals MVP if the Lakers won it all, but Davis is making a serious case.

Meanwhile, in his eighth straight trip to the NBA Finals, LeBron is averaging 27 points, 10.4 rebounds and 8.9 assists per game in the postseason. At some point the King will start to slow down, but he’s playing as well as he ever has in his age 35 season.

Miami Heat

The Heat swept the Pacers in the opening round of the Eastern Conference playoffs before defeating the No. 1 seed Milwaukee Bucks, 4-1, and topping the Celtics 4-2 in the Eastern Conference Finals.

Coming into the season, not many people expected a Finals run from the Heat. Despite adding Jimmy Butler in the offseason, the remaining core of the team was perceived as too young and inexperienced to make a serious impact yet.

But, that young core has served as the perfect complement to Butler. Rookies Tyler Herro and Kendrick Nunn have each made significant contributions, and third-year big man Bam Adebayo looks to be a perennial All-Star in the making.

The problem is, Adebayo missed Game 2 due to injury and is questionable for Game 3.

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Miami Heat – Game 3 Betting Breakdown            

The Lakers won Game 1, 116-98, Game 2 by a score of 124-114 and come into Game 3 as 9-point favorites. On the moneyline, the Lakers don’t possess much value at -450, while the Heat are currently +400 to win their first game on Sunday.

Those -450 odds for the Lakers imply an 81.8% probability that LeBron and the Lakers keep up their winning ways on Sunday. At +400, there’s just a 20% shot the Heat win.

Since the end of Friday’s Game 2, bettors are split 50/50 on who they think will take Game 3, with half talking the Lakers and the other half taking the value in the Heat.

The total for the game is set somewhere between 218.5 and 219.5 points, depending on which sportsbook you're using.

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Los Angeles Lakers vs. Miami Heat – Game 3 Betting Odds

Team Moneyline Odds Point Spread Public Betting % (Moneyline) Winnings on $100 Wager
Los Angeles Lakers -450 -9 50% $22.22
Miami Heat +400 +9 50% $400
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