2020 NBA Draft Odds: Who is Favored to Go First Overall?
It’s a bit odd to be talking about the NBA Draft in November, but we’re just one day away from Wednesday’s draft and bettors have started to get their tickets in ahead of the first round.
For almost the entire offseason, former Georgia SG/SF Anthony Edwards was the favorite to go No. 1 to the Minnesota Timberwolves. For a few months this summer, Edwards was even odds-on. But, on Monday, LaMelo Ball surged into the favorite position.
Now, just a day away from the actual draft, Edwards has jumped Ball again and taken over as the favorite. Clearly oddsmakers are torn, and bettors have shown they feel similarly, but it’s turned into a two-horse race.
Despite being from the USA, Ball never played collegiate basketball in the states. At age 16, he turned to Europe to go pro. Then, he made a move to Australia last season, playing in the NBL.
If Ball were to go No. 1 on Wednesday, he’d be the first top pick to not play NCAA basketball since Andrea Bargnani was drafted by Toronto in 2006. As of Tuesday, Ball sits at +250 to go first. Those odds imply a 28.6% chance.
In the last week, 34.69% of all bets on which player will go first overall are on Bell.
Bell averaged 17.0 point per game for Illawarra, but shot just 25% from beyond the arc. If he’s going to be an efficient scorer in the NBA, he’s going to need to improve on his shooting.
Edwards was a star from day one at UGA. The Freshman from Atlanta, Georgia was the 4th overall prospect in the 2019 class, according to ESPN. He reportedly turned down offers from places like Kentucky, North Carolina and Kansas in order to play for head coach Tom Crean at Georgia. Crean coached Dwyane Wade and Victor Oladipo, two of Edwards’ favorite players, in college.
Edwards averaged 19.1 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game. Similar to Ball, Edwards struggled with his offensive efficiency last season, shooting 40% from the field.
As of now, Edwards is the favorite to go first at +100, indicative of a 50% chance. Still, he's behind Ball in popularity within the betting market with 30.61% of bets on him to go to Minnesota at #1.
Anthony Edwards +100
LaMelo Ball +250
James Wiseman +1000
Obi Toppin +10000
Deni Avdija +10000