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NBA Championship Odds: Not a Lot of Odds Movement After Free Agent Frenzy

Analyzing the NBA Championship odds that have shifted with all the trades and signings that have been taking place since free agency started
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NBA Championship Odds: Not a Lot of Odds Movement After Free Agent Frenzy

The NBA Championship odds market has been shaken up by the free agency frenzy. The top teams remain the same, but oddsmakers did see some clear winners and losers. Here’s a look at how free agency has shaken up the NBA Championship odds.

NBA Free Agency Begins With a Bang

It would be an understatement to say that the start of NBA free sgaency has shaken things up across the NBA. The roster reshuffling started on draft night, with Russell Westbrook teaming up with LeBron and Anthony Davis in Los Angeles, but it didn't stop there.

Kyle Lowry is now a member of the Miami Heat following a sign and trade that Toronto executed with Miami. Lonzo Ball is one of the newest members of the Chicago Bulls, along with Demar DeRozan. Carmelo Anthony is joining lontime freind LeBron James in Los Angeles and Devonte Graham is now a New Orleans Pelican.

NBA Championship Odds

TeamOdds prior to free agencyOdds after free agencyRank before and after
Brooklyn Nets+230+2301st to 1st
LA Lakers+400+4252nd to 2nd
Milwaukee Bucks+850+8503rd to 3rd
Golden State Warriors+1300+11504th to 4th
Phoenix Suns+1500+15006th to T5th
Utah Jazz+1400+15005th to T5th
Philadelphia 76ers+1600+18007th to 7th
LA Clippers+2000+2000T8th to 8th
Denver Nuggets+2000+2500T8th to 9th
Dallas Mavericks+2800+300010th to T10th
Miami Heat+3500+3000T11th to T10th
Atlanta Hawks+3500+4000T11th to 12th
Boston Celtics+5000+4500T13th to 13th
Portland Trail Blazers+5000+6000T13th to 14th
Indiana Pacers+10000+10000T17th to T15th
Memphis Grizzlies+10000+10000T17th to T15th
New Orleans Pelicans+8000+10000T15th to T15th
New York Knicks+10000+10000T17th to T15th
Chicago Bulls+10000+12500T17th to 19
Charlotte Hornets+10000+15000T17th to T20th
Toronto Raptors+8000+15000T15th to T20th
Washington Wizards+15000+2000022nd to 22nd
Sacramento Kings+25000+25000T23rd to T23rd
San Antonio Spurs+25000+25000T23rd to T23rd
Minnesota Timberwolves+25000+30000T23rd to 25th
Cleveland Cavaliers+50000+50000T26th to T26th
Detroit Pistons+50000+50000T26th to T26th
Houston Rockets+50000+50000T26th to T26th
OKC Thunder+50000+50000T26th to T26th
Orlando Magic+50000+50000T26th to T26th

Not a lot of movement on the odds board, but there a few clear winners and losers. The Denver Nuggets went from +2000 to +2500, a steep drop. The Miami Heat went from +3500 to +3000, which has them among the top-10 on the market. The biggest loser seems to be the Toronto Raptors who saw their odds drop from +8000 to +15000. It’s also clear that the oddsmakers see the NBA championship races as more or less a 3 or 4 team race. Of course, at this time last year, the Suns odds were given +6600 oods.


A PR Associate at @OddsCheckerUS. Available for Podcasts, Radio, and TV. Quoted in Forbes, Chicago Tribune, Sports Illustrated, and more.


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