2022 NBA Finals Odds: Warriors Given a 60% Chance to Beat Celtics
2022 NBA Finals Odds: Warriors Given a 60% Chance to Beat Celtics
The core of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown will get their first taste of the NBA Finals. Tatum has been in the league for five seasons and will finally get to his first NBA Finals.
Better yet, the entire Celtics roster will be making their first appearance in the NBA Finals. Meanwhile, the core of the Warriors will be looking to win their fourth NBA Championship.
Experience is certainly on the Warriors' side, however, the Celtics match up well with the Warriors and could give them a run for their money in this series.
Here's our 2022 NBA Finals odds preview, picks, and predictions.
2022 NBA Finals Odds
| Team | Odds | Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Warriors | -150 | 60% |
| Celtics | +130 | 43.48% |
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2022 NBA Finals Odds Breakdown and Predictions
The Golden State Warriors are given a 60% of beating the Boston Celtics while Boston is given just a 43.48% chance of winning this series.
The Boston Celtics had a points differential of +7.4 in the playoffs this year. That's first in the NBA, ahead of the Golden State Warriors, who had a point differential of +5.3.
The Warriors scored 117.8 points per 100 possessions in the playoffs but haven't played a defense like the Boston Celtics just yet.
The Celtics have held teams to 106 points per 100 possessions in the playoffs and have been the best defense in the NBA in the last two weeks, allowing just 100.7 points per 100 possessions.
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Meanwhile, the Warriors have allowed 112.5 points per 100 possessions in the playoffs. There's room for the Celtics to have success on the offensive end.
The Warriors got some rest after a five-game series win over Dallas. That should help the Warriors start the series off strong at home. But the Celtics have more momentum. The Celtics had defeated the Bucks in the Eastern Conference Semifinals in seven games and then defeated the Heat in seven games in the Eastern Conference Finals.
The Celtics match up well with the Warriors. Marcus Smart will defend against Steph Curry while Klay Thompson and Andrew Wiggins will have to match up with Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown.
Both teams have a lot of depth off the bench and have different contributors every night. This series will be closer than some think.
In the playoffs, the Warriors have fouled at a very high rate and rarely forced turnovers. Meanwhile, the Celtics held teams to a low free throw rate and were the best team in the NBA in the playoffs when it came to defensive effective field goal percentage.
Against the Celtics, teams shot just a 49.3% effective field goal percentage in the playoffs. That will help to know that the Warriors shot a 57.4% effective field goal percentage in the playoffs this season.
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Both teams turned the ball over at a very high rate in the playoffs this season but the Celtics are more of a threat to actually earn those turnovers on the defensive end.
Boston has done a better job at getting to the line and both teams have been above average on the offensive glass. The Warriors are starting to get healthy along with the Celtics, making this a very exciting series.
Plenty of people think this series will be a cakewalk for the Warriors. But the Celtics are built to take on a team like the Warriors. They match up well and homecourt advantage doesn't seem like it means that much to the Celtics, after they won three road games against the Heat in the Eastern Conference Finals.
So I'll go with the value here and take the Celtics at +130 to win the series.
Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics NBA Finals Pick
- Celtics +130 (Bet $100 to Win $130)
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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.