NBA Championship Odds: Celtics Given 24% Chance to Win Title After Dropping Game 5
NBA Championship Odds: Celtics Given 24% Chance to Win Title After Dropping Game 5
The NBA Finals have been electric, with series lead changes left and right. The Golden State Warriors won the first game of the NBA Finals but the Boston Celtics stormed back winning the next two. When the Celtics got up 2-1 in the series, the Warriors won the next two to take a 3-2 lead.
That's where we stand now. The Celtics are coming home and are favorites in Game 6. However, oddsmakers still believe the Warriors have a high probability of winning the NBA Finals, giving the Celtics just a 23.81% chance of winning the NBA Finals.
Can the Celtics defy odds in Games 6 and 7 and win the NBA Championship or will the Warriors take care of business in one of the two remaining games?
If you're thinking the Celtics will win in Game 6, let me show you why betting the Celtics on the series line is better than betting the Celtics on the moneyline in Game 6.
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Celtics NBA Championship Odds
| Team | Odds | Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | -400 | 80% |
| Boston Celtics | +320 | 23.81% |
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The sportsbooks will always juice these types of lines for them to profit. But let's do some thinking here.
If you take the Celtics to win Game 6 on the moneyline, you'd bet them at about -165 depending on where you're shopping. However, if you bet the Celtics at +320 to win the series and they win Game 6, you can always hedge and guarantee profit in Game 7.
The Warriors would likely be around a -160 to -190 favorite in Game 7 and you'll be holding a Celtics +320 to win Game 7. You could either have a very good positive expected value bet or you could hedge out of your +320 bet and bet the Warriors at the lowest odds you can find to gain profit.
Therefore, if you're looking to take the Celtics in Game 6, I would advise taking the series line at +320 over taking the Celtics at -165.
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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.