NCAA Tournament Odds: Colgate Given 67% Chance To Win the Patriot League
NCAA Tournament Odds: Colgate Given 67% Chance To Win the Patriot League
Colgate has run the Patriot League this year. After finishing 16-2 and cruising to a regular-season title, oddsmakers are fully behind the Raiders to win the league for a third time in four years.
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The reigning champions are given -200 odds, or an implied 66.7% chance to win the tournament. Their biggest competition is expected to be Navy. The Midshipmen are given +275 odds, or an implied 26.7% chance to make their first NCAA Tournament since 1998. Boston is a dark horse at +600, or an implied 14.3% chance to take home the title.
Every other team in the tournament is a different shade of longshot. Perhaps the most surprising is Holy Cross being in a three-way tie for the worst odds to win the tournament despite earning the 7th seed.
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This is Colgate’s league. They’ve owned this league the last 4 years. Even in the year, they didn’t win the conference championship they lost in the finals. There’s a reason they’re the major favorites in this one. The bad news for Colgate is that a #1 seed hasn’t won the Patriot League since 2019. The good news is that since 2010, 6 #1 seeds have won the tournament. So, they do still win more often than not even in a league that’s usually filled with upsets.
Patriot League Championship Winner Odds
| School | Odds | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|
| Colgate | -200 | 66.7% |
| Navy | +275 | 26.7% |
| Boston University | +600 | 14.3% |
| Loyola (MD) | +1800 | 5.3% |
| Lehigh | +3300 | 2.9% |
| Army | +3500 | 2.8% |
| Lafayette | +5500 | 1.8% |
| Holy Cross | +50000 | 0.5% |
| American University | +50000 | 0.5% |
| Bucknell | +50000 | 0.5% |
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