NCAA Tournament Odds: Georgia State the Favorites To Come Out of the Sun Belt Conference

NCAA Tournament Odds: Georgia State the Favorites To Come Out of the Sun Belt Conference

The Sun Belt is one of very few conferences where neither the 1 or 2 seed is favored to win the tournament. Instead, oddsmakers are backing the #3 seed Georgia State Panthers.

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Oddsmakers see Georgia State as a solid favorite to win the Sun Belt. They’re given +270, or an implied 27% chance to punch their ticket to March Madness. Their biggest competition is expected to be 5th seed South Alabama who’s given +410 odds, or an implied 19.6% chance.

So what happened to the top seeds? Well, oddsmakers aren’t counting them out entirely. Texas State, the regular-season champions at 12-3 in the conference, are given +430 odds or an implied 18.9% chance to come out on top. Meanwhile, #2 seed Appalachian State is given +600 odds, or an implied 14.3% chance.

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The dark horse in this tournament is 4th seed, Troy. Oddsmakers give the Trojans +900 odds, or an implied 10% chance. Nobody else has better than +1200 odds to win it all.

Oddsmakers see the Sun Belt as one of the most competitive conferences in the NCAA. They have 7 teams given at least a 7.1% chance to win the tournament. The only other conference that can claim that is the Mountain West.

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The oddsmakers’ choice in the Sun Belt is still confusing. Georgia State is 177 in NET and 155 in Kenpom, Texas State is 118 in NET and 129th in Kenpom. The tight conference makes sense given no standout team, but it’s hard to understand why Georgia State is the favorite. South Alabama makes sense as their numbers, 125th in Kenpom, are better than their record, but Georgia State is puzzling.

SUN BELT CONFERENCE CHAMPION ODDS