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Texas Tech March Madness Odds: Are the Red Raiders a Sneaky Value Play in March?

Texas Tech earned the No. 3 seed in the West Region. Here is a breakdown of the Red Raiders' odds from the first round to the championship.
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Texas Tech March Madness Odds: Are the Red Raiders a Sneaky Value Play in March?

The Texas Tech Red Raiders will be a dangerous out in March, as they are the nation’s best defensive team in terms of KenPom’s adjusted defensive efficiency metric. In addition, the Red Raiders are one of the country’s most experienced teams and one of the most consistent, as they did not lose back-to-back games all season. Below is a breakdown of Texas Tech’s March Madness odds for those looking to invest in futures bets.

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First Round Game

Spread: Texas Tech -15 (-110)  Moneyline: (-1600) vs. No. 14 Montana State

Texas Tech does not have any “bad” losses, as six of its nine losses were to NCAA Tournament teams, and one other was to a team that was squarely on the NCAA Tournament bubble (Oklahoma). No. 14 Montana State shoots the three well, ranking in the top-40 nationally at 36.8%. In addition, the Bobcats consistently outscore teams at the foul line, as their 21.9% of total points that come from the free-throw line is the 16th-highest in Division I. However, the Red Raiders are one of the most physical teams in the country, so Montana State may have finally met its match in that regard.

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Final Four 

Texas Tech +450

Texas Tech’s March Madness odds to reach the Final Four are tied for second-best among all No. 3 seeds and would likely be higher if not for being placed in the same region as the overall No. 1 seed. Texas Tech faced Gonzaga in a neutral site non-conference game on December 18th. Though they lost by 14, they played that game without pro prospect Terrence Shannon Jr. and can take solace in the fact that they held the Bulldogs to 69 points, their third-lowest scoring output of the season. If the Red Raiders can get by Gonzaga, there is realistically not a team in the country they cannot beat. 

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National Championship

Texas Tech +2200

The Red Raiders last made a national championship appearance in 2019 as a No. 3 seed, and this year’s team is every bit as good defensively as that Chris Beard team. Playing in the Big 12, Texas Tech had several opportunities to test itself against the country’s top teams. The Red Raiders went 3-2 against two No. 1 seeds, Baylor and Kansas. So by that barometer, Texas Tech’s +2200 March Madness odds to cut down the nets may seem like a bargain.

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Mike Spector brings unmatched knowledge and insight into the game of football, and more importantly the process of betting on NFL football. Mike is the #2 ranked expert in FantasyPros' NFL betting contest

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