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2022 March Madness: 5 Most Overrated Teams in the Round of 64

College basketball expert Mike Spector breaks down the five most overrated teams entering March Madness, and ones you should avoid picking to go far in your brackets.
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2022 March Madness: 5 Most Overrated Teams in the Round of 64

Listen, upsets happen in the NCAA Tournament. That’s why it is nicknamed “March Madness” and is one of the most incredible sporting events we have. However, perhaps these upsets would not move the needle as much or be considered as massive if we had the proper opinion or outlook of specific teams at the start of the NCAA Tournament.

Bettors may fall in love with teams because of impressive runs in their conference tournament or fail to ignore the challenges that their first or second-round opponents present. Either way, the following are the five most overrated teams entering the Round of 64 and whose 2022 March Madness Tournament lives will be more short-lived than one would expect.

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Top Five Overrated Teams For The Round of 64

North Carolina (-170 ML Odds First Round, +2500 Final Four Odds)

The North Carolina Tar Heels played in and won the most highly anticipated and nationally viewed regular-season college basketball game in recent memory. The Tar Heels’ win at Cameron Indoor Stadium to spoil Coach K’s last regular-season home game was nothing short of spectacular and put a nice bow on what was at times a tumultuous season in Hubert Davis’ first year at the helm.

Usually, winning 24 games in the ACC is a tremendous accomplishment. However, what does it say about the strength of a conference when the team that finished second (Notre Dame) was sent to the First Four in Dayton? The Tar Heels went just 3-8 in Quad 1 games and instead fattened their record with a combined 18-1 record in Quad 3 and 4 games. Many believe the Tar Heels will beat Marquette in the opening round and give Baylor a run in the Round of 32. However, Baylor is a supremely talented team to UNC, and the Tar Heels’ first game is more of a toss-up than people realize. 

Michigan State (-110 ML Odds First Round, +3500 Final Four Odds)

Back-to-back wins against Maryland and Wisconsin in the Big Ten Tournament had many shouting whatever version of “Izzo in March” sentiments they use. And while Tom Izzo is every bit worthy of his Hall of Fame induction, do not let the simple month of the calendar cloud that his team lost eight of its last 13 games. Many have penciled Michigan State in for a highly anticipated Round of 32 matchup against the Blue Devils. They cite the Spartans’ win over Duke’s Zion Williamson and R.J. Barrett team in the 2019 Elite 8 as reasons why the Spartans are due for another deep run. However, they should not look past a Davidson team that runs a complicated offense and one that could easily knock them off in the first round.

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Auburn (-2000 ML Odds First Round, +250 Final Four Odds)

Auburn has all the talent in the world and a roster that, on paper, could compete for a national championship. After all, they spent several weeks of the season ranked No. 1. However, the Tigers are a much different team away from “The Jungle,” going 8-3 and beating inferior teams like Missouri and Georgia by a combined three points on the road. Auburn needs to win six neutral site games to cut down the nets, but this team has not inspired confidence they can do so.

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Wisconsin (-310 ML Odds First Round, +1400 Final Four Odds)

The Wisconsin Badgers earned a share of the Big Ten regular-season title, a conference that sent nine teams to the NCAA Tournament. So what’s not to love? For starters, Big Ten Player of the Year, Johnny Davis, has not looked like the conference’s best player over the last two games. Davis has combined to score 21 points on 7-for-23 shooting from the field over the previous two games, raising speculation he is dealing with injuries. If Davis is not playing at the superhuman level he played at for most of the season, the Badgers will exit early from the tournament.

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Michigan (-135 ML Odds First Round, +3000 Final Four Odds)

Not only was Michigan selected to the NCAA Tournament, but they were also given massive respect as a No. 11 seed and avoided the play-in game. My question is, how? This year, the Wolverines lost 14 games and are a comical 15-14 in games not played against Nebraska. Yes, they played in the rugged Big Ten and were also hampered by injuries and COVID-19 issues early in the season. However, despite all that, they are favored against a tough No. 6 seed Colorado State team, and many believe they match up well against Tennessee in a potential Round of 32 matchup. Unfortunately, it is much more likely that Michigan loses to Colorado State than beats Tennessee.

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Mike Spector brings unmatched knowledge and insight into the game of football, and more importantly the process of betting on NFL football. Mike is the #2 ranked expert in FantasyPros' NFL betting contest


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