Pacquiao vs. Ugas Odds: 58.62% of Bettors Backing Pacquiao against Ugas
Pacquiao vs. Ugas Odds: 58.62% of Bettors Backing Pacquiao against Ugas
In just a few days we’re going to see the return of Manny Pacquiao, one of the greatest boxers of the last 20 years. At first, we expected him to be an underdog against the No. 6 pound-for-pound fighter in the world, Erol Spence Jr. Instead, Yordenis Ugas is being called upon to fill in after an injury required Spence to withdraw.
Now, Pacquiao vs. Ugas odds are favoring the once longshot Pacquiao, but what can we expect from a 42-year old boxer?
The last time Pacquiao fought, he went out and delivered Keith Thurmond the first loss of his career. It was in 2019, but that is no small feat for a 40-year old, so it makes sense that Pacquiao vs. Ugas odds favor him.
Before that, Pacquiao defeated Adrien Broner, which meant a lot more maybe 8 years ago, but it’s still a solid win.
Meanwhile, Pacquiao vs. Ugas odds aren’t giving the challenger, Yordenis Ugas, much of a chance to take down Pacquiao, but who is the public backing? A large majority have seen the latest Pacquiao vs. Ugas odds and have decided to side with the favorite.
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Pacquiao vs. Ugas Odds
It’s not necessarily a surprise to see Pacquiao vs. Ugas Odds favoring Manny Pacquiao, but at 42 years old you would expect him to slow down at some point.
Pacquiao dominated the younger Thurman early, even knocking him down in the first round, but faded a bit later on. We may see something similar on Saturday.
If Yordenis Ugas expects to win this fight he may need to survive an early fury of punches and take it to Pacquiao in the later rounds.
No matter his gameplan, sportsbooks and oddsmakers don’t like Ugas’ chances, according to the latest Pacquiao vs. Ugas odds. As of today, Manny Paquiao is a -345 favorite against Ugas.
As for Yordenis Ugas, at +300 he has just a 25% implied probability to beat Pacquiao.
| Result | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Pacquiao Win | -345 | 77.5% |
| Draw | +2000 | 4.8% |
| Yordenis Ugas Win | +300 | 25% |
Pacquiao vs. Ugas Betting
So, does the betting public think that Yordenis Ugas, the WBA welterweight champion, can deliver Manny Pacquiao his first loss in more than four years? Not really.
Since Pacquiao vs. Ugas was announced and Pacquiao vs. Ugas odds, 58.62% of bettors are backing Manny Pacquiao to keep his win streak alive and defeat Yordenis Ugas. 35.17% are picking Ugas to shock oddsmakers and win a fight he took at the last second. 6.21% are betting we get a draw.
| Result | Public Betting % |
|---|---|
| Pacquiao Win | 58.62% |
| Draw | 6.21% |
| Ugas Win | 35.17% |
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