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Pacquiao vs. Ugas Odds: 58.62% of Bettors Backing Pacquiao against Ugas

The latest Pacquiao vs. Ugas odds heavily favor Manny Pacquiao. The betting public is also squarely in his corner for Saturday's fight in Las Vegas.
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Pacquiao vs. Ugas Odds: 58.62% of Bettors Backing Pacquiao against Ugas

In just a few days we’re going to see the return of Manny Pacquiao, one of the greatest boxers of the last 20 years. At first, we expected him to be an underdog against the No. 6 pound-for-pound fighter in the world, Erol Spence Jr. Instead, Yordenis Ugas is being called upon to fill in after an injury required Spence to withdraw.

Now, Pacquiao vs. Ugas odds are favoring the once longshot Pacquiao, but what can we expect from a 42-year old boxer?

The last time Pacquiao fought, he went out and delivered Keith Thurmond the first loss of his career. It was in 2019, but that is no small feat for a 40-year old, so it makes sense that Pacquiao vs. Ugas odds favor him.

Before that, Pacquiao defeated Adrien Broner, which meant a lot more maybe 8 years ago, but it’s still a solid win.

Meanwhile, Pacquiao vs. Ugas odds aren’t giving the challenger, Yordenis Ugas, much of a chance to take down Pacquiao, but who is the public backing? A large majority have seen the latest Pacquiao vs. Ugas odds and have decided to side with the favorite.

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Pacquiao vs. Ugas Odds

It’s not necessarily a surprise to see Pacquiao vs. Ugas Odds favoring Manny Pacquiao, but at 42 years old you would expect him to slow down at some point.

Pacquiao dominated the younger Thurman early, even knocking him down in the first round, but faded a bit later on. We may see something similar on Saturday.

If Yordenis Ugas expects to win this fight he may need to survive an early fury of punches and take it to Pacquiao in the later rounds.

No matter his gameplan, sportsbooks and oddsmakers don’t like Ugas’ chances, according to the latest Pacquiao vs. Ugas odds. As of today, Manny Paquiao is a -345 favorite against Ugas.

As for Yordenis Ugas, at +300 he has just a 25% implied probability to beat Pacquiao.

ResultOddsImplied Probability
Manny Pacquiao Win-34577.5%
Yordenis Ugas Win+30025%

Pacquiao vs. Ugas Betting

So, does the betting public think that Yordenis Ugas, the WBA welterweight champion, can deliver Manny Pacquiao his first loss in more than four years? Not really.

Since Pacquiao vs. Ugas was announced and Pacquiao vs. Ugas odds, 58.62% of bettors are backing Manny Pacquiao to keep his win streak alive and defeat Yordenis Ugas. 35.17% are picking Ugas to shock oddsmakers and win a fight he took at the last second. 6.21% are betting we get a draw.

ResultPublic Betting %
Pacquiao Win58.62%
Ugas Win35.17%

How to Bet on Pacquiao vs. Ugas

No matter who you want to bet on when it comes to Pacquiao vs. Ugas odds, FanDuel is making sure you get the best bang for your buck. Right now, you can get either fighter at 30/1 odds and all it takes is a $5 moneyline bet.

If you place a $5 moneyline bet on either Manny Pacquiao or Yordenis Ugas, and that fighter wins, you win $150. It’s that easy.

All you need to do to claim is:

1. Sign up for FanDuel using the exclusive offer button right below

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3. Place a $5 moneyline bet on either Manny Pacquiao or Yordenis Ugas to win

4. Win $150 if your fighter wins!


Brian is a sports journalist with close to ten years of experience in the business. A lifelong Philadelphia sports fan with a passion for all things sports gambling.


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