Jake Paul vs. Ben Askren Betting Breakdown: Paul the Slight Favorite with Bettors

In the past week, bettors have been split almost 50/50 on who to back for Jake Paul vs. Ben Askren
Brian Good
Sat, April 17, 10:28 AM EDT

Jake Paul vs. Ben Askren Odds: Complete Betting Breakdown

Tonight is the night. After months of build up for the fight, we are finally going to see Jake Paul vs. Ben Askren in a professional boxing match. The oddsmakers and betting public have been all over the place when it comes to this spectacle.

When the fight was first announced and betting odds opened, Paul was a massive favorite and bettors were rushing to back one of the biggest YouTube stars in the world, fresh off his defeat of Nate Robinson.

Then, about a month ago, there was a massive shift in the betting. Askren’s odds to win pulled about even with Paul’s and a large majority of bets came in on the former UFC star. A lot of it came off the back of their first public face-to-face meeting where Askren put his hand in Paul’s face and Paul responded by slapping him in the side.

Now, in the week leading up to the fight, bettors are completely split on who to take and it’s refelected in the Jake Paul vs. Ben Askren odds.

Jake Paul vs. Ben Askren Betting

Like we mentioned earlier, the early betting was all on Jake Paul to defeat Ben Askren on Saturday night. As a matter of fact, during a 24-hour span in early March, Paul pulled in 70% of the moneyline wagers on the fight.

People were rushing to back him, even with odds as long as -250 after he opened at -280. Now, just a few hours from the Jake Paul vs. Ben Askren opening bell, Paul’s odds have drifted down to -160. And, over the past week, the amount of bets on Askren to beat Paul are almost the exact same as the bets on the opposite outcome.

Paul vs. Askren Result Public Betting in Last Week
Jake Paul Win 49.2%
Ben Askren Win 46.34%
Draw 4.46%

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Jake Paul’s Fighting Record

Jake Paul’s fight record doesn’t take much time to go over. Paul has fought in two professional bouts in his short career. His first fight came against AnEsonGib, a fellow YouTuber. That one ended in a first-round TKO by Paul.

In his next fight, Paul faced former NBA star Nate Robinson and finished him with a brutal KO that set twitter and the rest of the social media world on fire.

Res.

Record

Opponent

Method

Date

Win

2-0

Nate Robinson

KO

28-Nov-20

Win

1-0

AnEsonGib

TKO

30-Jan-20

Watch UFC expert James Lynch breakdown Saturday's Jake Paul vs. Ben Askren fight

Ben Askren’s Fighting Record

Meanwhile, Askren has an extensive UFC record but has never been in a professional boxing match. In 22 MMA fights, he racked up a 19-2 record with one no contest. Despite his prowess in the octagon, he’s never been known for his striking and may actually be at a disadvantage against Paul in that regard. Still, he has six KOs in his MMA career.

Res.

Record

Opponent

Method

Date

Loss

19–2 (1)

Demian Maia

Technical Submission

26-Oct-19

Loss

19–1 (1)

Jorge Masvidal

KO

6-Jul-19

Win

19–0 (1)

Robbie Lawler

Technical Submission

2-Mar-19

Win

18–0 (1)

Shinya Aoki

TKO

24-Nov-17

Win

17–0 (1)

Zebaztian Kadestam

TKO

2-Sep-17

Win

16–0 (1)

Agilan Thani

Submission

26-May-17

Win

15–0 (1)

Nikolay Aleksakhin

Decision

15-Apr-16

NC

14–0 (1)

Luis Santos

NC

24-Apr-15

Win

14–0

Nobutatsu Suzuki

TKO

29-Aug-14

Win

13–0

Bakhtiyar Abbasov

Submission

30-May-14

Win

12–0

Andrey Koreshkov

TKO

31-Jul-13

Win

11–0

Karl Amoussou

TKO

24-Jan-13

Win

10–0

Douglas Lima

Decision

6-Apr-12

Win

9–0

Jay Hieron

Decision

29-Oct-11

Win

8–0

Nick Thompson

Decision

9-Apr-11

Win

7–0

Lyman Good

Decision

21-Oct-10

Win

6–0

Dan Hornbuckle

Decision

17-Jun-10

Win

5–0

Ryan Thomas

Decision

20-May-10

Win

4–0

Ryan Thomas

Technical Submission

15-Apr-10

Win

3–0

Matt Delanoit

Submission

28-Aug-09

Win

2–0

Mitchell Harris

Submission

25-Apr-09

Win

1–0

Josh Flowers

TKO

7-Feb-09

Jake Paul vs. Ben Askren Odds

It’s been tough to keep tabs on Jake Paul vs. Ben Askren odds. After opening at -280, you could get both Paul and Askren at +105 a few weeks ago. But, as we’ve gotten close to the fight, Paul has once again inserted himself as the favorite for tonight’s bout.

As of Saturday afternoon, Paul sits at -160 to defeat Askren outright. Those odds are indicative of a 61.5% chance of winning. As for Askren, he currently has +160 best odds, which imply a 38.5% shot he pulls off the upset.

Fighter Moneyline Odds Implied Probability
Jake Paul -160 61.5%
Ben Askren +160 38.5%
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