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Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane UFC 270: Betting Data, Odds, and Preview

Johnny Covers previews UFC 270 and Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane.
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Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane UFC 270: Betting Data, Odds, and Preview

When: January 22, 10:00 PM EDT

Where: Honda Center, Anaheim, CA

Click Here for Ngannou and Gane odds

The first Pay-Per-View event of the year is officially upon us this weekend, and boy is it a doozy. Headlined by a heavyweight title unification bout, two former sparring partners in Francis Ngannou and Ciyrl Gane will go at it in their long-awaited meetup. As the co-main Brandon Moreno and Deiveson Figueiredo will go at it for a third time, in what is sure to be another instant classic. 

In what should be a great card from top to bottom, let’s take a closer look at Saturday’s main event and identify where the value remains. 

Francis Ngannou (16-3-0)

We start with the champ in this one who comes into this fight no doubt amongst the most feared men on the planet, and for very good reason. Since losing his first title shot to Stipe Miocic (and the subsequent fight to Derrick Lewis), Ngannou has improved his game across the board winning four straight in the first round before getting the title from Miocic at UFC 260 in March.

Despite rarely using it, with no victories vis submission since 2016, Ngannou has a sneaky good ground game and comes into this fight averaging .41 submissions per 15 minutes in the octagon, nearly double his opponent. His takedown accuracy is also higher than his opponent’s, coming into Saturday at a clip of 33.3.

Ciryl Gane (10-0-0)

Due to a lack of activity from Ngannou and a subsequent ongoing feud with UFC president Dana White, Gane was paired with Derrick Lewis for a chance at an interim heavyweight belt in August at UFC 265. Controlling the fight in totality, Gane finished Lewis in the 3rd round to pick up his 10th straight professional win and set him on a crash course for this one.

Starting MMA less than four years ago, Gane has ascended quickly, joining the UFC after just three professional fights and running through the heavyweight ranks with relative ease. Astonishingly well-rounded, Gane has the submission game (three wins via submission) down but his striking is what sets him apart. His significant strikes landed per minute (5.37) is more than double that of Ngannou, and his accuracy is a full 33% higher as well. 

Francis Ngannou vs Ciryl Gane Odds

NameOddsImplied Chance
Ciryl Gane-14859.7%
Francis Ngannou+13043.5%

This one opened up relatively split even, with Ngannou even favored at some offshore books, but has since taken off in favor of the relative newcomer Gane. As of Wednesday, the best # on Gane is at BetRivers (-148), while DraftKings (+135) offers the most bang for your buck on Ngannou.

Likely a mix of sharp and public money with a swing this big, Gane’s perfect record has attracted a lot of cash for better or worse.

Click here to see the latest betting odds for Francis Ngannou vs Ciryl Gane

Francis Ngannou vs Ciryl Gane Odds & Public Betting Data

As far as how money has come in thus far, as of Wednesday it’s largely split signaling the odds are about where they will finish come fight time. As an increasing underdog, Ngannou has seen a slightly higher volume with 54% of the money coming in on the champ.

Be it name recognition or bettors just looking for value, I expect the Ngannou money to continue to roll in ahead of this one.

How To Bet On Francis Ngannou vs Ciryl Gane

Now we’ve given you all odds and betting data you need to wager on UFC 270, let’s dive into the best betting promo available to you.


Johnny has been covering the sports betting markets and handicapping games for the better part of the past decade. Along the way, he has written for publications such as All-In Magazine, Blitz Predict, FantasyPros, Betting Pros, Sportsbook Review, and most recently, OddsChecker. In addition to giving out picks on Twitter, Johnny is the host of the podcast The Daily Sports Bet -- a 10 minute or less listen with actionable insights and no fluff or BS. Starting the podcast in June, he closed out 2021 up 26 units with a winning percentage of 55%.


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