Keith Thurman vs. Mario Barrios: Betting Data, Odds, and Preview
Keith Thurman vs. Mario Barrios: Betting Data, Odds, and Preview
When: February 5, 9:00 PM EDT
Where: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
A pair of welterweights will go at it Saturday night in Las Vegas, as Keith Thurman makes his long-awaited return to the ring following a 2019 loss to Manny Pacquiao; the first of his career. On the opposite side, Mario Barrios comes into following the first loss of his career, a June defeat at the hands of Gervonta Davis as he lost his WBA super lightweight title after two successful defenses.
Will ring rust come back to bight the seven-year older Thurman? Will the first loss of either fighter's career be too much to overcome? Let’s dive in.
Click here for Thurman vs Barrios odds
Keith Thurman (29-1-1)
Simply put, Thurman has been fighting at an elite level for a long time. Since winning the WBA belt back in 2013, Thurman successfully defended the belt a staggering eight times before running into Pacquiao in 2019.
Knocking off the likes of Shawn Porter, Danny Garcia, and Josesito Lopez along the way, Thurman’s fight record is a who's who of the division (and sport) and shouldn’t be discounted in the slightest. Reportedly having come into this camp at 170+ pounds, many within the sport are interested to see what Thurman looks like Saturday after what will be a nearly 25lb weight cut.
Mario Barrios (26-1)
For the 26-year-old Barrios, Saturday will also mark his first time in the ring following the first loss of his career. In a June defense of his own super lightweight title, Barrios looked solid over the first 6-7 rounds, before Davis started picking up apart scoring several knockdowns before ultimately finishing him the 11th round.
Heading into this one, in addition to his youth, Barrios has a 3” height and reach advantage over Thurman, two facets of his game he’ll need to capitalize on to take down the veteran; despite any alleged ring rust.
Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios Odds
The odds for this one opened in early January with Thurman the favorite (-180) and Barrios the underdog (+140), and the action has been largely split since. For those in the camp of Thurman, BetMGM currently offers the best odds at -175, while those backing up Barrios should head over to FanDuel (+165).
With such a wide array of odds available, the verdict is still very much out where the smart money is heading.
Click here to see the latest betting odds for Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios
Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios Odds & Public Betting Data
While little public betting data is available on this thus far, more often than not, the favorite will get the overwhelming majority of support from the public. A lot of this stems from the public not knowing much about either fighter and inherently taking the favorite.
This of course often leads to plenty of value on the underdogs which if I had to wager is where we see the sharp money come in before this one goes off.
How To Bet On Keith Thurman vs Mario Barrios
Now that you have the lay of the land, let’s take a look at one of the best promotions around for you to utilize Saturday night.
Johnny has been covering the sports betting markets and handicapping games for the better part of the past decade. Along the way, he has written for publications such as All-In Magazine, Blitz Predict, FantasyPros, Betting Pros, Sportsbook Review, and most recently, OddsChecker. In addition to giving out picks on Twitter, Johnny is the host of the podcast The Daily Sports Bet -- a 10 minute or less listen with actionable insights and no fluff or BS. Starting the podcast in June, he closed out 2021 up 26 units with a winning percentage of 55%.