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UFC 272 Colby Covington vs. Jorge Masvidal: Betting Data, Odds, and Preview

Johnny Covers previews UFC 272 including the highly anticipated Colby Covington vs Jorge Masvidal matchup.
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UFC 272 Colby Covington vs. Jorge Masvidal: Betting Data, Odds, and Preview

When: March 5, 10:00 PM EDT

Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Click here for Covington vs Masvidal odds

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In what was supposed to be a trilogy fight between current UFC Featherweight Champion Alexander Volkanovski and the #1 contender Max Holloway, an injury to Holloway postponed that matchup. In its place steps another great fight, however, as the #1 contender at welterweight Colby Covington steps into the octagon to face fan-favorite Jorge Masvidal. 

For the UFC, Saturday will mark the third pay-per-view event of the year, and set up a jam-packed spring of great fights. 

The quality action doesn’t just start in the main event Saturday, however, as Edson Barboza and Bryce Mitchell precede a co-main event of Rafael dos Anjos vs. (the recently announced) Renato Moicano. Let’s take a closer look at Saturday’s main event, however, diving into both fighters’ profiles as well as where the action has gone as fight night approaches.

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Colby Covington (16-3-0)

Fighting out of Miami, FL, “Chaos” Covington has quietly amassed quite the hit list in his time with the UFC. Since joining in 2014, Covington has wins over the likes of Rafael dos Anjos, Robbie Lawler, and most recently Tyron Woodley. The last time we saw him in the octagon was his second loss in two years to Kamaru Usman, both for the title, and both of which went to the 5th round (TKO & decision).

With a takedown average of 4.1 per 15 minutes inside the octagon, the former Division I wrestler’s primary advantage on Saturday will likely come on the ground. In nearly all other statistics, he is within decimals of Masvidal.

Jorge Masvidal (31-15-0)

Like Covington, Masvidal’s last two losses, which just happened to be his last two fights, both have come against Usman. A five-round division loss in the summer of 2020, followed by a 2nd round KO in spring of 2021. Even still, however, Masvidal’s hit list is a roster of killers, with TKO/KO wins over Nate Diaz, Darren Till, and Donald Cerrone.

Despite the long odds, Masvidal has a slide edge in striking heading into Saturday, with 4.22 (vs. 4.14) strikes landed per minute, 55.11% (vs. 50.46%) of which are accurate. And while he does trail significantly in takedown averages, his accuracy is 13% higher at 59.32% and submissions more than double at .35.

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Colby Covington vs Jorge Masvidal Odds

Covington opened up the betting festivities as a -190 favorite vs. Masvidal (+160) and has largely seen one-sided action thus far. As of Thursday, the best number currently available on Covington is -305 (DraftKings), while BetMGM (+300) has the longest Masvidal odds. 

Click here to see the latest betting odds for Colby Covington vs Jorge Masvidal

Colby Covington vs Jorge Masvidal Odds & Public Betting Data

According to Oddshark, Masvidal is seeing the majority of love from the betting public, with 70% of the money line action thus far. As one of the company’s most popular stars in terms of fans, I wouldn’t be surprised if the one-way action continues to pile in. 

How To Bet On Colby Covington vs Jorge Masvidal

Now we’ve given you all odds and betting data you need to wager on UFC 272, let’s dive into the best betting promo available to you.

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Click Here For Complete UFC 272 Odds


Johnny has been covering the sports betting markets and handicapping games for the better part of the past decade. Along the way, he has written for publications such as All-In Magazine, Blitz Predict, FantasyPros, Betting Pros, Sportsbook Review, and most recently, OddsChecker. In addition to giving out picks on Twitter, Johnny is the host of the podcast The Daily Sports Bet -- a 10 minute or less listen with actionable insights and no fluff or BS. Starting the podcast in June, he closed out 2021 up 26 units with a winning percentage of 55%.


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