Jan Błachowicz vs. Aleksandar Rakić Odds: Oddsmakers Give Błachowicz a 64.5% Chance to Win
Jan Błachowicz vs. Aleksandar Rakić Odds: Oddsmakers Give an Błachowicz a 64.5% Chance to Win
- When: May 14, 10:00 PM EDT
- Where: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV
A week removed from an electric pay-per-view event in Phoenix, AZ for UFC 274, the UFC heads home to the UFC Apex for another great night of fights. This time, the light heavyweights will be on the main display, as (recent) former champion Jan Błachowicz takes on relative newcomer Aleksandar Rakić who is thought to be the division's future.
Let’s take a closer look at both fighters, and where the action is flowing ahead of UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić.
Jan Błachowicz (28-9-0)
Following winning the KSW light heavyweight belt in 2011 and defending it twice, Błachowicz joined the UFC in 2014, and after a rough start losing four of his first six fights, turned a corner in 2017. Knocking off the likes of Jared Cannonier, Luke Rockhold, and Corey Anderson, Błachowicz beat Dominick Reyes in September 2020 for the belt.
In his first title defense, he then knocked off one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the world, as Israel Adesanya attempted to come up a weight class and become a two-class champion. In Błachowicz’s last fight, however, he lost the belt to current champ Glover Teixeira via a rear-naked choke submission in October.
Aleksandar Rakić (14-2-0)
With just two professional losses and one with the UFC (Volkan Oezdemir, December 2019), 30-year-old Aleksandar Rakić has quickly ascended the light heavyweight ranks, currently the #3 contender behind Błachowicz and Jiri Prochazka. With recent wins against Thiago Santos and Anthony Smith, a third straight here against the former champ would all but certainly send Rakić on a crash course for a shot at the belt.
He also has the metrics to back that opportunity. Coming into this fight, Rakić is landing 4.23 significant strikes per minute, 67% of which are accurate. Known for his striking, Rakić also has a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu pedigree (brown belt) that he’s yet to put on full display within the UFC.
Jan Błachowicz vs Aleksandar Rakić Odds
Since opening up as a -150 favorite, we’ve seen the money pour in on the up-and-coming prospect Rakić, as he now sits as high as -205. For those looking to get down on the favorite, BetRivers currently has the best number at -182. For those who think the former champ Błachowicz can get it done once again, FanDuel currently has the best number posted at +164.
With two fighters known for going the distance, it’s also worth noting that the over has seen some steam. Currently, the over 2.5 rounds prop has been juiced up to -165, while over 3.5 also has the juice at -120 (vs. -110 under).
Jan Błachowicz vs Aleksandar Rakić Odds & Public Betting Data
While no public consensus data has been posted, this line movement points in one direction; Rakić. As the fight gets closer, I do expect some buyback on the more experience Błachowicz, whose supporters are no doubt waiting until the last minute to see what kind of number they can get.
How To Bet On Jan Błachowicz vs Aleksandar Rakić
Now that we’ve given you all the odds and betting data you need to wager on UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić, let’s dive into the best betting promo available.
Johnny has been covering the sports betting markets and handicapping games for the better part of the past decade. Along the way, he has written for publications such as All-In Magazine, Blitz Predict, FantasyPros, Betting Pros, Sportsbook Review, and most recently, OddsChecker. In addition to giving out picks on Twitter, Johnny is the host of the podcast The Daily Sports Bet -- a 10 minute or less listen with actionable insights and no fluff or BS. Starting the podcast in June, he closed out 2021 up 26 units with a winning percentage of 55%.