Julian Marquez vs. Gregory Rodrigues Odds: Rodrigues Given a 63% Chance to Beat Marquez

The UFC will make its long-awaited return to Texas tonight, as UFC Fight Night is airing from Austin. Johnny Covers takes a closer look at the fifth fight from the top between Julian Marquez vs. Gregory Rodrigues.
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Julian Marquez vs. Gregory Rodrigues Odds: Rodrigues Given a 63% Chance to Beat Marquez

When: June 18

Time: 7:00 PM EDT

Where: Moody Center, Austin, TX

Where to Watch: ESPN

The UFC will make its long-awaited return to Texas tonight, as UFC Austin follows up what was an incredible UFC 275 last weekend in Singapore. At the top, a pair of top 10 featherweights will go at it as Calvin Kattar is set to take on Josh Emmett. Now the fifth fight from the top following another cancellation of Donald Cerrone and Joe Lauzon, a pair of middleweights will go at it in Julian Marquez vs. Gregory Rodrigues to start off the main card. 

Let’s take a closer look at both fighters and where the odds are headed as fight time approaches.

Click Here for Marquez vs Rodrigues Odds

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Julian Marquez (11-2-0)

Joining the UFC via the Dana White’s Contender Series 4 in August 2017, Marquez has gone 4-1 in his time since, most recently beating Sam Alvey via submission in April 2021. Since then, he’s had two fights canceled against Kyle Daukaus, Jamie Pickett, and Wellington Turman before finally getting this matchup against Rodrigues. 

Entering this fight, what Marquez lacks in striking stats he makes up for on the ground, with a submission average of 3.21 per 15 minutes in the octagon vs. just .74 from Rodrigues. 

Gregory Rodrigues (15-4-0)

Despite being a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Rodrigues has relied heavily on his striking since turning professional, with five of his last seven fights going the way of TKO/KO. The last time we saw him inside the octagon was a split decision loss vs. Armen Petrosyan in February, his first loss since September 2020 (Jordan Williams, KO).

Entering this fight, Rodrigues holds edges across the board in striking, landing 5.28 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy clip of 54.52%. This is vs. Marquez’s clips of 4.20 and 49.4%, respectively. Marquez also holds an edge in takedown averages at 2.59 per 15 minutes.

It’s also worth noting that despite being the same height, Rodrigues also holds an edge in the reach department, with a 75” reach compared to just 72” from Marquez. 

Julian Marquez vs Gregory Rodrigues Odds

These odds opened at dead even, with both fighters being -110 according to the oddsmakers. Right away, we saw early sharp money on Rodrigues, whose odds have since ballooned. Those looking to back the favorite, Rodrigues, should head to Caesars (-170), while underdog, Marquez, bettors will be best suited at DraftKings (+150).

Click here to see the latest betting odds for Julian Marquez vs Gregory Rodrigues

Julian Marquez vs Gregory Rodrigues Odds & Public Betting Data

According to our friends at OddsShark, Marquez has drawn the overwhelming majority of the action from the betting public. As of this morning, Marquez has attracted 72% of the total betting action. 

How To Bet On Julian Marquez vs Gregory Rodrigues

Now that we’ve given you all the odds and betting data you need to wager on UFC Fight Night: Julian Marquez vs. Gregory Rodrigues, let’s dive into the best betting promo available.

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Johnny has been covering the sports betting markets and handicapping games for the better part of the past decade. Along the way, he has written for publications such as All-In Magazine, Blitz Predict, FantasyPros, Betting Pros, Sportsbook Review, and most recently, OddsChecker. In addition to giving out picks on Twitter, Johnny is the host of the podcast The Daily Sports Bet -- a 10 minute or less listen with actionable insights and no fluff or BS. Starting the podcast in June, he closed out 2021 up 26 units with a winning percentage of 55%.

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