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Phil Hawes vs. Deron Winn Odds: Hawks Given a 71% Chance To Beat Winn

The Moody Center in Austin, TX will host a great night of fights. Phil Hawes takes on Deron Winn. Johnny Covers a closer look at both fighters and how things might shake out tonight in Austin.
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Phil Hawes vs. Deron Winn Odds: Hawks Given a 71% Chance To Beat Winn

When: June 18,

Time: 7:00 PM EDT

Where: Moody Center, Austin, TX

Where to Watch: ESPN

The Moody Center in Austin, TX will host a great night of fights headlined by a pair of featherweights in Calvin Kattar and Josh Emmett. While the co-main event has been canceled between Donald Cerrone and Joe Lauzon, there is still plenty of great action on both the prelim and main card. 

One of the better fights of the evening will get us started in the second fight of the prelim card, as Phil Hawes and Deron Winn go at it in a potential fight for the future of the middleweight class. Let’s take a closer look at both fighters and how things might shake out tonight in Austin.

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Phil Hawes (14-3-0)

A former Bellator and Brave CF fighter, Hawes had a seven-fight win streak going into his UFC 268 fight in November vs. Chris Curtis. In what was a first-round KO loss, Hawes has had time to regroup and is poised coming into this fight looking to get back on track. 

Facing Winn, Hawes holds the edge in significant striking accuracy at 68.4% (vs. 53.8%), as well as on the submission front with .35 per 15 minutes in the octagon. He does struggle to get there, however, as his takedown stats trail behind that of his opponent. 

Deron Winn (9-2-0)

Coming into this fight having lost two of his past three and now 2-2 with the UFC, Winn is also looking to get a run going. The last time we saw him inside the octagon was a December 2020 win vs. Antonio Arroyo, a decision win at a catchweight of 195 pounds. 

When he enters the octagon against Hawkes tonight in Austin, Winn will hold edges in significant strike volume at 4.74 landed per minute (vs. 4.2), as well as in the takedown category as mentioned. With 4.98 takedowns averaged per 15 minutes, Winn averages double that of Hawes, as well as being 20% more accurate. 

Phil Hawes vs Deron Winn Odds

These odds opened last month with Hawes as a -240 favorite, while Winn came in as a +205 underdog. As fight night has approached in Austin, we’ve seen Hawes draw the majority of the attention, reaching as high as -275 at some shops. 

Those looking to bet the favorite would be best suited at DraftKings (-240), while underdog bettors should head to FanDuel (+225).

Click here to see the latest betting odds for Phil Hawes vs Deron Winn

Phil Hawes vs Deron Winn Odds & Public Betting Data

According to our friends at OddsShark, the favorite Hawes (-275) has attracted the majority of attention from the betting public. As of this morning, Hawes has drawn 67% of the betting action this far and only increasing as fight time approaches. 

How To Bet On Phil Hawes vs Deron Winn

Now that we’ve given you all the odds and betting data you need to wager on UFC Fight Night: Phil Hawes vs. Deron Winn, let’s dive into the best betting promo available.

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Johnny has been covering the sports betting markets and handicapping games for the better part of the past decade. Along the way, he has written for publications such as All-In Magazine, Blitz Predict, FantasyPros, Betting Pros, Sportsbook Review, and most recently, OddsChecker. In addition to giving out picks on Twitter, Johnny is the host of the podcast The Daily Sports Bet -- a 10 minute or less listen with actionable insights and no fluff or BS. Starting the podcast in June, he closed out 2021 up 26 units with a winning percentage of 55%.

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