Nate Maness vs. Umar Nurmagomedov Odds: Maness Comes in as the Biggest Underdog (+650) on the Card
Nate Maness vs. Umar Nurmagomedov Odds: Maness Comes in as the Biggest Underdog (+650) on the Card
When: June 25
Time: 9:00 PM EDT
Where: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: ESPN & ESPN+
Click Here for Complete UFC Fight Night Odds
Two top 15 bouts take center stage for this weekend’s UFC card at the Apex in Las Vegas, NV. #11 Arman Tsarukyan vs. #12 Mateusz Gamrot headlines the card in a lightweight bout while #10 Neil Magny goes toe-to-toe with #15 Shavkat Rakhmonov in a welterweight fight in the co-main event. This piece will narrow in on the fight with the longest odds of the night, where Umar Nurmagomedov puts his undefeated 14-0-0 record on the line against 14-1-1 Nate Maness.
Let’s dive into each fighter’s recent history, statistics, and the odds for this bantamweight bout.
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NATE MANESS (14-1-0)
“Mayhem” Maness makes the walk for the fourth time in his career on Saturday night. He’s a perfect 3-0 in the UFC, but he’ll face his biggest test this weekend in Umar Nurmagomedov. Maness has finished two of his three fights, most recently knocking out Tony Gravely halfway through the second round. He was outstruck 36-31 in the fight, marking this third consecutive contest absorbing more strikes than he’s dished out.
The 30-year-old American is landing 2.87 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.72. Maness lands 1.52 takedowns per 15 minutes and has a success rate of 75%. On the flip side, he’s stuffing 86% of opposing takedown attempts, which will be essential if the BJJ blue belt wants to get his hand raised on Saturday.
UMAR NURMAGOMEDOV (14-0-0)
When he stepped into the octagon back in March, the Russian-born brawler made quick work of Brian Kelleher. Nurmagomedov finished him via rear naked choke in the first round, his second time using the move in two fights to beat an opponent. He outstruck Kelleher 18-1 in the winning effort and is now absorbing just 0.67 significant strikes per minute.
As far as I can tell, the game plan is pretty straightforward for Nurmagomedov. He’s going to take you down and submit you. He’s averaging 7.56 takedowns and 2.5 submission attempts per 15 minutes.
NATE MANESS VS UMAR NURMAGOMEDOV ODDS
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Nurmagomedov was a heavy favorite from the start, where he opened as a -750 favorite. His odds have since been driven up, where his best price is -900 at Caesars. If you’re looking to cash a lottery ticket, the best value for Maness can be found at BetMGM (+650).
NATE MANESS VS UMAR NURMAGOMEDOV ODDS & PUBLIC BETTING DATA
Just as you’d assume with a -900 favorite, Nurmagomedov is taking 98% of the consensus bets to win this contest.
HOW TO BET ON NATE MANESS VS UMAR NURMAGOMEDOV
You’re now armed with the best odds, these fighters’ styles, and tendencies, and what the public thinks about this bout. Check out the best betting promos available.
Trent is a Chicago native who has been an avid sports fan since he could walk. He played sports throughout his youth and played collegiate rugby at Arizona State University. Trent still resides in Arizona, where he spends his days covering sports from a sports betting perspective. He fell in love with the analytical side of sports in his late teens and has been following the sports betting industry for 10+ years now! You can follow him on Twitter and Instagram for all of his sports betting picks at @Trentbets.