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Alexander Volkanovski vs. Max Holloway Odds: Volkanovski Given 67% Chance to Defend Title for Fourth Time

The output in Saturday's co-main event between Alexander Volkanovski and Max Holloway is going to be crazy! Trent Pruitt breaks down the fight and provides the best odds for the the featherweight title bout.
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Alexander Volkanovski vs. Max Holloway Odds: Volkanovski Given 67% Chance to Defend Title for Fourth Time

Alexander Volkanovski vs. Max Holloway Start Time, Where To Watch, and Odds

When: Saturday, July 2

Time: 10:00 PM EDT

Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

Where to Watch: ABC, PPV

Click here for Alexander Volkanovski vs. Max Holloway odds

There’s a clear one-two combo at the top of the featherweight division. Alexander Volkanovski will look to put an undeniable gap between him and the number-one contender, Max Holloway on Saturday night. Holloway, the former champion of the division, lost his belt to Volkanovski back in December of 2019. He dropped a rematch for the title seven months later and has been fighting for another shot ever since. Holloway gets his third opportunity against Volkanovski on Saturday night in the co-main event of UFC 276. Let’s get into the odds, each fighter’s recent history, and the stats and tendencies that matter for this championship fight. 

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Alexander Volkanovski vs. Max Holloway Prediction


The number-two pound-for-pound fighter in the world steps into the cage in the co-main event on Saturday. Volkanovski is an impressive 11-0 in the UFC octagon and has successfully defended his title three times since yanking it away from Holloway in 2019. The Australian-born brawler is coming off of an impressive victory over Chan Sung Jung in April. As I mentioned in the intro, there’s a huge skill gap in the division and Alexander the Great proved it that night. He took a skilled fighter in the Korean Zombie and made him look like an amateur. Volkanovski outstruck the challenger 138-48, won the takedown battle 4-0, and eventually finished him with a knockout 45 seconds into the fourth round.

The champ comes in averaging 6.63 significant strikes per minute and he’s landing at a 57% success rate. He’s absorbing just 3.32 per minute while defending 70% of opposing takedowns. The Aussie is a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and averages 1.95 takedowns landed per 15 minutes. 


Holloway fought his way back into contention for the belt after dropping consecutive fights to Volkanovski a couple of years ago. And he did it in a dominant fashion. Holloway set the record for most significant strikes in a fight (445) against Calvin Kattar in his return to the octagon and notched a decision victory. Absolutely insane output from the American. And how did he follow that up? By setting the fifth-highest output in a fight. Holloway landed 230 significant strikes in a thrilling decision victory with Yair Rodriguez. He also landed three takedowns in the win that put him back in the running for another title shot. 

Blessed Max Holloway comes into this fight as arguably the best boxer in the promotion, landing 7.38 significant strikes per minute at a 47% clip. Just because he’s concentrated on boxing, doesn’t mean that his grappling takes a back seat. Holloway’s a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and successfully lands takedowns 66% of the time while defending at an 84% rate.


The champ opened up at a -190 favorite to improve to 3-0 against Max Holloway. This line has stayed pretty constant and you can still find Volkanovski at -200 (via DraftKings) to retain the featherweight strap. As for Holloway, the best value for him as an underdog is +175 at Caesars.

NameOddsImplied Chance
Alexander Volkanovski-19065.52%
Max Holloway+17037.04%

Click here for Alexander Volkanovski vs. Max Holloway odds


Despite dropping the first two fights against Volkanovski, 73% of the public is backing Holloway to break through and become the new featherweight champion (per OddsShark).


Now that we have the best odds for each competitor, these fighters’ tendencies and statistics, and what the public thinks about this fight, check out the best betting promos available.

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Trent is a Chicago native who has been an avid sports fan since he could walk. He played sports throughout his youth and played collegiate rugby at Arizona State University. Trent still resides in Arizona, where he spends his days covering sports from a sports betting perspective. He fell in love with the analytical side of sports in his late teens and has been following the sports betting industry for 10+ years now! You can follow him on Twitter and Instagram for all of his sports betting picks at @Trentbets.


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