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Pedro Munhoz vs. Sean O’Malley Odds: 61% of Bets on Pedro Munhoz to Upset O'Malley?

We have a bantamweight banger on the UFC 276 main card featuring Pedro Munhoz taking on "Sugar" Sean O'Malley. Trent Pruitt breaks down the bout and provides the best odds, fighter statistics, and what the public thinks about this fight.
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Pedro Munhoz vs. Sean O’Malley Odds: 61% of Bets on Pedro Munhoz to Upset O'Malley?

Sean O'Malley vs Pedro Munhoz Start Time, Where To Watch, and Odds

When: Saturday, July 2,

Time: 10:00 PM EDT

Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

Where to Watch: ABC, PPV

Click Here for O'Malley vs Munhoz Odds

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Sean O'Malley vs. Pedro Munhoz Prediction

International Fight Week concludes on Saturday night with a massive UFC 276 card featuring a pair of title fights. In the co-main event, Max Holloway looks for revenge as he closes out a trilogy with Alexander Volkanovski. And all roads lead to Israel Adesanya making his sixth title defense, this time against Jared Cannonier in the main event. There are a few other bangers on the main card, including Pedro Munhoz looking to bounce back against a rising Sean O’Malley. Let’s check out this bantamweight fight's odds, stats, and fighter tendencies. 


The Brazilian-native hasn’t found much success over the last three years as he’s gone just 1-4 over that time frame. Most recently, Munhoz lost a unanimous decision to Dominick Cruz back in December of 2021 in a fight where he was outstruck 103-74. The Young Punisher had a few shining moments early in the bout, including a knockdown, but he wasn’t able to finish Cruz and ended up losing the fight. 

Munhoz comes into this fight landing an average of 5.50 significant strikes per minute while absorbing an astonishing 6.09 significant strikes per minute. That has to be worrisome for him and his camp entering a fight with O’Malley, who boasts some of the quickest and heaviest hands in the division. However, Munhoz has had his chin tested throughout his whole career and has yet to be knocked out over 17 UFC fights. 


The Suga Show rolls into Vegas looking to build upon three straight wins. O’Malley only has one blemish on his UFC record, a fight with Marlon “Chito” Vera in August of 2020 where Vera landed a leg kick and compromised O’Malley’s leg. Sugar Sean was never able to recover and Vera finished him before the first round ended. O’Malley has bounced back with three straight victories, all coming by way of knockout. That makes five straight wins by knockout in the octagon for Sugar Sean.

O’Malley’s landing an incredible 8.26 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 3.52. He’s one of the more accurate strikers in the promotion, landing his strikes at a 62% success rate. The American-born brawler prefers to keep the fight upright, considering he lands just 0.59 takedowns per 15 minutes.

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The rising O’Malley opened up as a -250 favorite and has seen enough money poor in to increase his price to -285 (via DraftKings). As for Munhoz, the best payout available for him as an underdog is +255 at FanDuel.


Despite more money coming into the sportsbooks on Sugar Sean, the consensus sees 61% of the public backing Pedro Munhoz to pull off an upset win on Saturday night. 

Click Here For Complete UFC 276 Odds


Now that we have the best odds for each competitor, these fighters’ tendencies and statistics, and what the public thinks about this fight, check out the best betting promos available.

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Trent is a Chicago native who has been an avid sports fan since he could walk. He played sports throughout his youth and played collegiate rugby at Arizona State University. Trent still resides in Arizona, where he spends his days covering sports from a sports betting perspective. He fell in love with the analytical side of sports in his late teens and has been following the sports betting industry for 10+ years now! You can follow him on Twitter and Instagram for all of his sports betting picks at @Trentbets.


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