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Sean Strickland vs. Alex Pereira Odds: Strickland Given a 54% Chance to Fend off Pereira at UFC 276

It's a stacked main card tonight at UFC 276 and one bout features Sean Strickland taking on Alex Pereira in a middleweight battle. Trent Pruitt breaks down the odds, public betting consensus, and the stats that matter in this one.
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Sean Strickland vs. Alex Pereira Odds: Strickland Given a 54% Chance to Fend off Pereira at UFC 276

When: July 2

Time: 10:00 PM EDT

Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Where to Watch: PPV Through ESPN+

Click Here for Sean Strickland vs. Alex Pereira Odds

International Fight Week is here which means there are events all throughout the week leading up to Saturday’s UFC 276 card. Everything earlier in the week is merely building up to the main card of 276, where there are a pair of belts on the line at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV. In the co-main event, a featherweight trilogy concludes as Max Holloway looks to regain his title as the challenger against Alexander Volkanovski. And in the main event, Israel Adesanya makes his sixth title defense at middleweight against Jared Cannonier.

There are a few other bangers on the main card, including a middleweight tilt between Sean Strickland and Alex Pereira. Let’s dive into the odds, statistics, and trends that matter in this fight.

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Sean Strickland vs. Alex Pereira Prediction


If things go accordingly tonight, Strickland could be the next in line for a title shot in the middleweight division. He comes into this fight as the fourth-ranked challenger, with Israel Adesanya beating two of the three fighters in front of him. The third is Jared Cannonier, who will face tonight in the main event. But, Strickland needs to focus on tonight’s fight and take care of business there first. The American-born brawler has been running through the division, recording six straight wins in the octagon. Most recently, he bested Jack Hermansson in a five-round, split-decision victory.

Strickland comes into this bout averaging 5.53 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.94. He’s a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, averaging 1.16 takedowns per 15 minutes and he’s landing takedowns 61% of the time. As for his defense, he’s shutting down 85% of opposing takedown attempts. 


34-year-old Pereira will make the UFC walk for just the third time in his career tonight. He’s 2-0 in those bouts, including a unanimous decision victory over Bruno Silva in March of this year. Silva landed a pair of takedowns, but Pereira outstruck him 108-59 and picked up his second consecutive win. 

Pereira’s a black belt in kickboxing and averages 5.86 significant strikes per minute. He’s absorbing just 3.05 strikes per minute while defending 73% of opposing takedowns. The Brazilian-native has yet to shoot a takedown in the UFC and considering he’s a kickboxer, he’s likely okay with that. 

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This middleweight bout opened as a pick ‘em, with both fighters coming in at -110. Since then, money has poured in on Strickland, where he’s now a slight -118 favorite (via FanDuel). As for Pereira, he comes back at +105 at Caesars. 

Click Here for Sean Strickland vs. Alex Pereira Odds


According to OddsShark, a slight majority of 51% say that Pereira will pull off the upset tonight in Las Vegas. 


Now that we have the best odds for each competitor, these fighters’ tendencies and statistics, and what the public thinks about this fight, check out the best betting promos available.

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Trent is a Chicago native who has been an avid sports fan since he could walk. He played sports throughout his youth and played collegiate rugby at Arizona State University. Trent still resides in Arizona, where he spends his days covering sports from a sports betting perspective. He fell in love with the analytical side of sports in his late teens and has been following the sports betting industry for 10+ years now! You can follow him on Twitter and Instagram for all of his sports betting picks at @Trentbets.


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