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Julianna Pena vs. Amanda Nunes Odds: 70% of Bets on Julianna Pena to Defeat Amanda Nunes

UFC 277 boasts a stacked card from top to bottom. Trent Pruitt breaks down the main event rematch featuring Julianna Pena and Amanda Nunes.
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Julianna Pena vs. Amanda Nunes Odds: 70% of Bets on Julianna Pena to Defeat Amanda Nunes

A pair of belts are on the line Saturday night when the UFC hits the road and heads to Dallas, Texas. First, in the co-main event, Brandon Moreno takes on Kai Kara-France for the Interim Flyweight Championship. That’s followed by a rematch in the Women’s Bantamweight Division, where Julianna Pena looks to shock the world again as she goes toe-to-toe with the great Amanda Nunes. 

This piece will break down the main event, including each fighter’s recent form and statistics, the public betting data, and the best odds for each woman to leave the cage victorious. 

Julianna Pena vs Amanda Nunes Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

When: July 30, 2022

Time: 10:00 PM EDT

Where: American Airlines Arena, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch: PPV Through ESPN+

Click Here for Pena vs Nunes Odds

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The champ stunned the MMA world when she submitted Amanda Nunes with a rear naked choke in the second round back in December. Pena came into the title fight as confident as we’ve seen from a Nunes challenger and she backed it up in a big way. Julianna Pena outstruck Nunes 79-46 in the bout, each fighter landed a takedown, and eventually Pena got the submission. This was the Venezuelan Vixen’s second straight win, both victories coming via rear naked choke. 

Pena is a purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and her grappling skills are represented on the stat sheet. The 32-year-old champion is averaging 2.43 successful takedowns per 15 minutes and landing at a 55% rate. However, when it comes to takedown defense, she’s only defending 22% of opposing takedown attempts. That could lead to trouble considering Nunes is a world-class grappler. As for Pena’s striking abilities, she’s averaging 3.36 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 2.02 strikes per minute. 

AMANDA NUNES (21-5-0) 

The Lioness had her 12-fight win streak snapped when she was submitted in December. It was her first loss since September of 2014 and just her third overall defeat in the UFC octagon. 

The first-ranked challenger comes in averaging 4.55 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.81 strikes per minute. Nunes is a black belt in BJJ and she also has a brown belt in Judo. The Brazilian averages 2.46 takedowns per 15 minutes and lands at a 54% success rate. As for her defense, Nunes fends off 82% of her opponent’s takedown attempts. She was taken down once in the first installment of this saga with Julianna Pena, the first time she’d been taken down in six fights. 


Amanda Nunes opened as a -290 favorite to reclaim the Bantamweight belt. It’s stayed fairly constant as the best price for the Brazilian is now -265 at DraftKings. If you want to back Pena to shock the world a second time, you can also get her at DraftKings at +225. 

Click here for the latest Julianna Pena vs Amanda Nunes odds.


Despite a slight drop in odds for Amanda Nunes, 70% of the betting tickets are on her to reclaim the strap vis BetMGM


There we have it, folks. The stats and tendencies that matter, the best available odds, and what the public thinks about the main event. Check out the best betting promos available.

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Trent is a Chicago native who has been an avid sports fan since he could walk. He played sports throughout his youth and played collegiate rugby at Arizona State University. Trent still resides in Arizona, where he spends his days covering sports from a sports betting perspective. He fell in love with the analytical side of sports in his late teens and has been following the sports betting industry for 10+ years now! You can follow him on Twitter and Instagram for all of his sports betting picks at @Trentbets.


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