Odds format
United States

Derrick Lewis vs. Sergei Pavlovich Odds: Massive 85% of Bets on Lewis to Defeat Pavlovich

A heavyweight brawl is set just before the co-main event on Saturday’s UFC 277 card. Trent Pruitt breaks down Derrick Lewis and Sergei Pavlovich and provides all of the information to help you have a profitable night on the canvas.
| 4 min read
Share to Facebook
Share to Twitter
Copy Link

Derrick Lewis vs. Sergei Pavlovich Odds: Massive 85% of Bets on Lewis to Defeat Pavlovich

Derrick Lewis vs. Sergei Pavlovich Start Time, Where To Watch, and Odds

When: July 30

Time: 10:00 PM EDT

Where: American Airlines Arena, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch: PPV Through ESPN+

Click Here For Lewis vs. Pavlovich Odds

A pair of belts are on the line Saturday night when the UFC hits the road and heads to Dallas, Texas. First, in the co-main event, Brandon Moreno takes on Kai Kara-France for the Interim Flyweight Championship. That’s followed by a rematch in the Women’s Bantamweight Division, where Julianna Pena looks to shock the world again as she goes toe-to-toe with the great Amanda Nunes. 

Just prior to the co-main event, we have a banger of a heavyweight bout. The UFC’s knockout leader, Derrick Lewis, returns to the octagon to take on surging Sergei Pavlovich. Here are the stats and trends you need to know, the public betting data, and the best odds for each man to raise his hand on Saturday night. 

Derrick Lewis vs. Sergei Pavlovich Prediction

DERRICK LEWIS (26-9-0, 1 NC) 

The Black Beast has alternated losses and wins over his last four fights in the UFC octagon. Most recently, he was on the wrong end of a knockout from Tai Tuivasa in the second round back in February. It was a back-and-forth fight for six-plus minutes, but Tuivasa got the best of Lewis and put him to sleep. Lewis recorded a pair of takedowns and outstruck Tuivasa 27-24 in the bout; however, Tuivasa proved to have the better chin that night. 

Lewis is the knockout king in the UFC, leading all fighters with 13 career KOs. He’s landing 2.56 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.51 strikes per minute. He’s not super active when it comes to takedowns, averaging just 0.60 takedowns per 15 minutes. The 37-year-old is a blue belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, and it’s worth noting he has a takedown defense rate of 55%. 


The Russian-born Pavlovich has been impressive over four fights in the UFC and looks to make a big jump in the rankings on Saturday night. He’s currently ranked 11th in the division and riding a three-fight win streak. All four of his fights in the octagon have ended in first-round knockouts, with the latest three wins coming over Marcelo Golm, Maurice Greene, and Shamil Abdurakhimov most recently. 

Pavlovich’s intentions are clear when he steps into the cage – he wants to knock you out. The 30-year-old brawler is averaging 6.08 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.45 strikes per minute. He hasn’t landed nor attempted a takedown in the UFC octagon yet, and he’s defending 66% of opposing attempts. 

Bet $10, Get $200 When a Punch Lands at UFC 277, with this BetMGM bonus code!


OddsResultImplied Chance
-140Sergei Pavlovich58.3%
+125Derrick Lewis44.4%

The Texan opened up as a -120 favorite; however, money has poured in on Pavlovich, making him the favorite at -140 (via Caesars). If you’re still looking to back Lewis, you can get him at +125 at DraftKings

Click Here For Lewis vs. Pavlovich Odds


While the money flow has flipped who is favored in this heavyweight bout, the public consensus remains that Lewis will come out victorious on Saturday. As 85% of the betting tickets are on Derrick Lewis! 

Looking for the best sportsbook offers? Check out the free bets page


There we have it, folks. The stats and tendencies that matter, the best available odds, and what the public thinks about the heavyweight clash. Check out the best betting promos available.


Trent is a Chicago native who has been an avid sports fan since he could walk. He played sports throughout his youth and played collegiate rugby at Arizona State University. Trent still resides in Arizona, where he spends his days covering sports from a sports betting perspective. He fell in love with the analytical side of sports in his late teens and has been following the sports betting industry for 10+ years now! You can follow him on Twitter and Instagram for all of his sports betting picks at @Trentbets.


Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.