Nate Diaz vs. Tony Ferguson odds: 84% of Bets on Diaz to Upset Ferguson
Nate Diaz vs. Tony Ferguson odds: 84% of Bets on Diaz to Upset Ferguson
This fight wasn't supposed to happen. Originally, Nate Diaz was supposed to take on Khamzat Chimaev in the main event at UFC 279. Unfortunately, Chimaev did not make weight so the UFC pivoted to Nate Diaz vs. Tony Ferguson.
When looking at the Nate Diaz vs. Tony Ferguson odds, we see Ferguson as a slight favorite over Nate Diaz. The public definitely disagrees with the sportsbooks here, though.
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Nate Diaz vs. Tony Ferguson odds
| Fighter | Odds | Implied Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Tony Ferguson | -122 | 54.95% |
| Nate Diaz | +120 | 45.45% |
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Nate Diaz vs. Tony Ferguson odds Breakdown
When looking at the Nate Diaz vs. Tony Ferguson odds, what we see is the sportsbooks giving Ferguson a slight edge. The latest odds are giving him a 54.95% chance of winning the fight tonight while Diaz is given a 45.45% chance of pulling the upset.
Where we see a difference is the number of bets and the handle. 84% of the bets are on Nate Diaz to win this fight with 66% of the handle to along with it.
The last time the UFC world saw Tony Ferguson was back in May when Michael Chandler landed one of the most devastating kicks we've ever seen in the sport. In Ferguson's career, he is 26-7 in his career.
As for Diaz, he most recently lost to Leon Edwards back in June of 2021 so this is a long-awaited return for Diaz here. He is 21-13 in his career as a fighter. While it was a fight that people weren't expecting, it was one that people have been asking for in the UFC for a very long time.